Coronavirus outbreak

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 14 Apr 2020 21:43

Jagermesiter1871
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Yeh but they don't do that do they?

Don’t ask me, I’m a mathematician.
Virology isn’t my specialism


Yeh but what are the odds of it mutating like that?

I can give you all that if you can provide me with the virus data sets to work on :wink:

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by SCIAG » 16 Apr 2020 09:12

What does the Rougeometer have to say about all this?

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One87One
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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by One87One » 16 Apr 2020 15:16

On Peston last night it was suggested that a relaxed lockdown could remain in force for another 12 months. If that's the case then we'll see many return to work, but most asked to continue working from home if able to, and almost certainly no mass gatherings, meaning football being played behind closed doors for next season (if at all).

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Westwood52 » 16 Apr 2020 15:30

I am pretty confident a vaccine will be here by September.The human condition being what it is;most of us will say f##k it by then,we have had enough,let’s get back on the gravy train;even though it may well kill us.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Millsy » 16 Apr 2020 17:24

If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.


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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by SCIAG » 16 Apr 2020 20:11

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

Just give me a percentage.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Millsy » 16 Apr 2020 20:56

SCIAG
2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

Just give me a percentage.


You'd have to ask Snowball.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 16 Apr 2020 21:39

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

We’ve moved on from Snowbollocks to just plain b*llocks

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by bcubed » 16 Apr 2020 23:52

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.


:D


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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Linden Jones' Tash » 21 Apr 2020 19:10

Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 21 Apr 2020 23:34

Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 22 Apr 2020 14:08

tmesis
Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by One87One » 22 Apr 2020 16:12

Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.


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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 22 Apr 2020 17:41

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Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

Did you ever watch Brasseye?

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tmesis
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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 22 Apr 2020 17:42

One87One Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.

Or there could be fans back from the Autumn. We don't know yet.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Uke » 22 Apr 2020 18:45

tmesis
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tmesis To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

Did you ever watch Brasseye?


He was probably off his tits on Clarky Cat

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Nameless » 23 Apr 2020 01:46

tmesis
One87One Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.

Or there could be fans back from the Autumn. We don't know yet.



If social distancing I’ll be required until at least the end of the year I would be interested in an explanation of how any sporting events will take place with more than a token number of spectators present.
County cricket should be ok to start on May 1st though.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Old Man Andrews » 23 Apr 2020 07:46

What happened to Snowball? Did the madness finally take over?

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by From Despair To Where? » 23 Apr 2020 08:04

As annoying and unreadable as his stat attacks are, I do hope he's OK.

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Westwood52 » 23 Apr 2020 09:55

Daily Mirror quotes an expert ,that over sixties are substantially at risk of death from Covid.In my business substantial was expressed as a percentage of 25% and over.So doesn’t look as if this cohort will be going anywhere except County Cricket any time soon.Over seventies are six times more at risk of death than over sixties,so they are going nowhere.

Of course the bloke I sit next to will be glad to see the back of me for at least next season.

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