Zip Snowball Thank you, Ian
It is hardly rocket science, and you quite rightly point out that there was nothing false about those stats.
Instead, as you also point out, 1.4 points per game multiplied by 46 games = 64.4 points. ALL that means is “a side averaging 1.4 ppg will finish on 64 or 65 points. The “season equivalent” (again, as you note, is just a quick clarification, a shorthand for “how we are accruing points”. Are we accruing points at relegation rate, low mid table rate, top ten or top six rate?
We are playing a LOT better than in games 1-6. FACT!
I’m amazed the moaners haven’t screeched “You can’t score .4 of a point!”
We have played 17.
29 games to go. IF we average 1.4 ppg for the rest of the season we will get 40.6 more points and thus end on 56 or 57.
Not great but very probably safe.
Yes, of course we COULD lose the next six games. If we do we reassess.
If we manage more than six I will be well satisfied
Bottom line,
We are averaging less than a point per game this season and are level on points with the team second from bottom. We have a team like Rotherham who have a squad costing a fraction of ours above us in the League table. Simply put it’s not good enough.
This is where I get p!ssed off.
Do you think I can't count or do simple division?
A ten year old can look at P17 points 16, but that is NOT representative of how we are playing NOW, not in this 5-game batch, or the previous six game batch.
BOLTON started the season brilliantly
They won at WBA 2-1, drew 2-2 with Bristol, lost by a single goal at Leeds, won at Reading, then beat Birmingham
TEN points from 5 games. CLEARLY they were nailed on to be Champions.
But, since then, reality set in and slowly but surely they have dropped down the table and are now in trouble
In the same 5-games Reading LLLDD and were a HUGE 8 points behind Bolton. Same after 6 games. In 11 games we have gained a full EIGHT points on Bolton. If we both (Bolton and RDG) continue the same, Reading will be SIXTEEN points clear of Bolton with 7 games still to play.
When we have played 40-41-42 games then of course, season ppg will be the only relevant stat, but the relative change in fortunes of Bolton and Reading CLEARLY show that the first 5/6 or ten games are a small part of the picture.
Reading only look "in trouble" because their first six games produced just 2 points
After 6 Games20 6 4 Birmingham City
21 6 4 Hull City
22 6 4 Queens Park Rangers
23 6 3 Ipswich Town
24 6 2 Reading
BOTTOM, dead in the water But Since Game 6...
Reading have gained
9 points on Bolton
Reading have gained
6 points on Ipswich
Reading have gained 4 points on Brentford
Reading have gained 4 points on Wigan
Reading have gained 4 points on Wednesday
Reading have gained 3 points on Millwall
Reading have gained 2 points on Rotherham
Reading have gained 2 points on Hull
Reading have gained 1 points on Preston