League One Table Predictions 24/25

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by Snowflake Royal » 07 Jan 2025 17:33

Ill be honest... totally forgot about it.

But as you're interested I'll see what I can.do.

Not sure I even noted down people's predictions

blythspartan
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by blythspartan » 07 Jan 2025 17:45

Snowflake Royal Ill be honest... totally forgot about it.

But as you're interested I'll see what I can.do.

Not sure I even noted down people's predictions


Cheers, but don’t worry if it’s too time consuming. I was just interested to see how we’re all doing.

Mid Sussex Royal
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by Mid Sussex Royal » 07 Jan 2025 18:53

I've been pretty accurate with the bottom sides although I expect most others have been too.

Got Wrexham & Wycombe badly wrong at the top and Wigan have not done as well as I thought based on their summer signings.

blythspartan
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by blythspartan » 07 Jan 2025 19:01

I have been massively wrong about Rotherham and us. In fact probably a fair bit more.

Clyde1998
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by Clyde1998 » 08 Jan 2025 10:43

blythspartan IR are you doing a mid season update?

I know this is not what's being used for points here, but using the mean square error method (a lower score is better; the difference between the predicted figure and the actual figure grows exponentially the larger it is):
  1. Gunny Fishcake - 32.3
  2. blythspartan - 38.6
  3. Panas - 38.8
  4. Mid Sussex Royal - 40.0
  5. Royal_jimmy - 40.1
  6. Horsham Royal - 40.3
  7. Vision - 41.7
  8. Snowflake Royal - 44.1
  9. Brum Royal - 46.5
  10. Royal Monkey - 46.6
  11. Farnham Royal - 48.2
  12. morganb - 48.4
  13. Clyde1998 - 52.3
  14. Tinpot Royal - 54.0
  15. Deadbird1871 - 55.5
  16. WestYorksRoyal - 56.5
  17. hobbitx007 - 82.0
  18. Ranked median prediction - 41.1
The biggest errors by team have been:
  1. Peterborough - 158.9
  2. Wycombe - 147.6
  3. Rotherham - 132.9
  4. Wrexham - 83.2
  5. Mansfield - 80.2
  6. Wigan - 78.2
The smallest errors by team have been:
  1. Birmingham - 0.9
  2. Cambridge - 7.9
  3. Shrewsbury - 8.2
  4. Huddersfield - 8.5
  5. Crawley - 8.9
  6. Northampton - 10.1


blythspartan
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by blythspartan » 08 Jan 2025 11:34

Clyde1998
blythspartan IR are you doing a mid season update?

I know this is not what's being used for points here, but using the mean square error method (a lower score is better; the difference between the predicted figure and the actual figure grows exponentially the larger it is):
  1. Gunny Fishcake - 32.3
  2. blythspartan - 38.6
  3. Panas - 38.8
  4. Mid Sussex Royal - 40.0
  5. Royal_jimmy - 40.1
  6. Horsham Royal - 40.3
  7. Vision - 41.7
  8. Snowflake Royal - 44.1
  9. Brum Royal - 46.5
  10. Royal Monkey - 46.6
  11. Farnham Royal - 48.2
  12. morganb - 48.4
  13. Clyde1998 - 52.3
  14. Tinpot Royal - 54.0
  15. Deadbird1871 - 55.5
  16. WestYorksRoyal - 56.5
  17. hobbitx007 - 82.0
  18. Ranked median prediction - 41.1
The biggest errors by team have been:
  1. Peterborough - 158.9
  2. Wycombe - 147.6
  3. Rotherham - 132.9
  4. Wrexham - 83.2
  5. Mansfield - 80.2
  6. Wigan - 78.2
The smallest errors by team have been:
  1. Birmingham - 0.9
  2. Cambridge - 7.9
  3. Shrewsbury - 8.2
  4. Huddersfield - 8.5
  5. Crawley - 8.9
  6. Northampton - 10.1


Happy with second on that basis.

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: League One Table Predictions 24/25

by Snowflake Royal » 08 Jan 2025 12:34

I feel redundant

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