Ryn I'm not saying the stats don't have their place, because they do, but it is possible to over-analyse.
Snowball is basing his projections on a very small sample size so far which doesn't really tell us much, apart from one possible outcome out of about 8 million.
Some of his numbers do make interesting reading, and at least he is passionate I suppose, which is better than some of the morons on here.
I challenge you to show where Snowball has made an unjustifiable prediction? Maybe I've missed something but every set of stats I have seen from him shows simple stats - no analysis. If I am wrong I'll stand up and be counted but I don't think I am.