The Snowball stat thread

[Snowball]

Just out of Curiosity

The Table Since January 28th (Jason Roberts' First Game

0.57 Points per Game better than Southampton, 8 Points gained
1.00 Points per Game better than Birmingham, 14 Points gained
1.07 Points per Game better than West Ham, 15 Points Gained
1.07 Points per Game better than Brighton, 15 Points Gained

1 14 12 1 1 8 0 28 9 +19 37 2.64 ppg Reading
2 13 8 3 2 5 1 25 14 +11 27 2.08 ppg Ipswich
3 14 8 5 1 8 2 24 10 +14 29 2.07 ppg Southampton
4 14 8 3 3 4 4 20 18 +02 27 1.93 ppg Watford
5 14 7 3 4 2 0 28 22 +06 24 1.71 ppg Blackpool
6 14 6 5 3 4 2 24 17 +07 23 1.64 ppg Birmingham
7 14 5 7 2 4 1 24 18 +06 22 1.57 ppg West Ham
8 14 5 7 2 5 2 19 13 +06 22 1.57 ppg Brighton
9 13 5 4 4 3 3 22 15 +07 19 1.46 ppg Forest

[Friday's Legacy]

[Snowball]

It's hard to over-state how good the last 8-9 days have been

This table is dreamland. To have gained 4 points and 7 goals GD on
Southampton is just two games is almost miraculous, and to do the damage
we did to West Ham (they showed their capability at Barnsley is also
stunning.


01 41 +34 79 Southampton
02 41 +26 79 Reading
03 41 +25 75 West Ham
04 41 +25 69 Birmingham
05 41 +15 66 Blackpool
06 41 +09 64 Cardiff
07 41 +07 63 Brighton

Interesting how the GD rule has finally come into line...

I have to say, though, how easily this table can still change.

We have two massive games and this next six days don't just
define our season but they could define a decade or two.

Of course, on strict form, IF we dropped into the POs, we would be
favourites, but frankly I would hate it. Cardiff have the Indian Sign on us,
Blackpool are fully capable of beating ny side in this league, and I think
Birmingham might well have won this league had they not been in Europe


16 41 -01 54 Crystal Palace
20 40 -15 43 Nottm Forest

[Snowball]

01 41 +34 79 Southampton
02 41 +26 79 Reading
03 41 +25 75 West Ham
04 41 +25 69 Birmingham
05 41 +15 66 Blackpool
06 41 +09 64 Cardiff
07 41 +07 63 Brighton

Theoretically our chances have been MASSIVELY changed now. I don't mean simply the obvious that Saints dropped two points at a crucial time. What I mean is, previously we had a mountain to climb, 2 goals of GD and 5 points etc. Now, provided we don't lose at Southampton (previously we had to win), all we have to do is get a draw against them losing a game.

Before we had "a chance" of catching Saints (by winning there)
and were waiting for West Ham to drop points.

As I see it now, we have two almost equal chances and as a betting
man I would say our odds should have halved

[Snowball]

Blackpool V Barnsley
Cardiff V Watford
Crystal Palace V Southampton
West Ham V Birmingham
Brighton V Reading


Southampton V Reading
Barnsley V Cardiff
Birmingham V Bristol City
West Ham V Brighton
Blackpool V Leeds United
Brighton V Watford


Bristol City V West Ham
Cardiff V Derby
Ipswich V Birmingham
Peterborough V Southampton
Reading V Nottm Forest

Cardiff V Leeds United
Blackpool V Burnley
Brighton V Birmingham

Reading V Crystal Palace
Middlesbrough V Southampton
Leicester V West Ham


Birmingham V Reading
Crystal Palace V Cardiff
Millwall V Blackpool
Southampton V Coventry
West Ham V Hull

[Snowball]

Form Since September 17th

1 35 23-06-06 17 CS 57-28 +29 75 2.14 ppg Reading
2 35 18-10-07 14 CS 59-32 +27 64 1.83 ppg Southampton

3 35 17-11-07 14 CS 52-35 +17 62 1.77 ppg West Ham

4 36 17-11-08 11 CS 61-37 +24 62 1.72 ppg Birmingham

5 35 15-10-10 08 CS 63-51 +12 55 1.57 ppg Blackpool
6 35 13-14-08 11 CS 50-44 +06 53 1.51 ppg Cardiff
7 35 14-09-12 12 CS 52-40 +12 51 1.46 ppg Leicester
8 35 14-09-12 08 CS 42-48 -06 51 1.46 ppg Watford

[Snowball]

WHOLE SEASON STAT


Reading are now officially clear best defence in the league

1 41 36 Goals Conceded 0.88 Goals conceded per game 18 Clean Sheets Reading

2 41 38 Goals Conceded 0.93 Goals conceded per game 18 Clean Sheets Hull City

3 41 40 Goals Conceded 0.98 Goals conceded per game 16 Clean Sheets Southampton

4 41 42 Goals Conceded 1.02 Goals conceded per game 15 Clean Sheets Brighton
4 41 42 Goals Conceded 1.02 Goals conceded per game 17 Clean Sheets Palace
4 41 42 Goals Conceded 1.02 Goals conceded per game 16 Clean Sheets West Ham

7 41 44 Goals Conceded 1.07 Goals conceded per game 13 Clean Sheets Birmingham

[MmmMonsterMunch]

We've now won the most games in the division too = 24

[Snowball]

Updated Table Since January 28th

Since Jason Roberts Joined

Surprised to see Cardiff and Hull so low down

Upcoming opponents highlighted


01 14 12-1-01 28-09 +19 37 Points 2.64 ppg Reading

02 14 08-5-01 24-10 +14 29 Points 2.07 ppg Southampton <<<<<<<<
03 14 08-4-02 25-14 +11 28 Points 2.00 ppg Ipswich
04 14 08-3-03 20-18 +02 27 Points 1.93 ppg Watford
05 15 07-5-03 27-18 +09 26 Points 1.73 ppg Birmingham <<<<<<<<
06 14 07-3-04 28-22 +06 24 Points 1.71 ppg Blackpool

07 14 05-7-02 24-18 +06 22 Points 1.57 ppg West Ham
08 14 05-7-02 19-13 +06 22 Points 1.57 ppg Brighton <<<<<<<<
09 14 06-3-05 24-19 +05 21 Points 1.50 ppg Leicester
10 14 05-4-05 22-16 +06 19 Points 1.36 ppg Forest <<<<<<<<
11 14 04-6-04 16-18 -02 18 Points 1.29 ppg Middlesbrough
12 14 03-8-03 15-15 +00 17 Points 1.21 ppg Palace <<<<<<<<


13 14 04-5-05 16-18 -02 17 Points 1.21 ppg Coventry
14 14 04-4-06 18-18 +00 16 Points 1.14 ppg Burnley
15 14 04-4-06 14-20 -06 16 Points 1.14 ppg Derby
16 14 04-3-07 19-19 +00 15 Points 1.07 ppg Millwall
17 14 04-3-07 17-22 -05 15 Points 1.07 ppg Peterborough

18 14 03-6-05 15-21 -06 15 Points 1.07 ppg Cardiff
19 14 04-3-07 16-23 -07 15 Points 1.07 ppg Leeds
20 14 02-7-05 10-13 -03 13 Points 0.93 ppg Hull

21 15 03-4-08 14-21 -07 13 Points 0.87 ppg Portsmouth
22 14 02-4-08 10-26 -16 10 Points 0.71 ppg Bristol City
23 14 03-1-10 09-25 -16 10 Points 0.71 ppg Barnsley
24 14 01-6-07 12-26 -14 09 Points 0.64 ppg Doncaster

[Snowball]

We've now won the most games in the division too = 24

I like that!

[Snowball]

Bookmakers' Spread Betting now Predicts


87 > 88 Saints
87 > 87 Reading
83 > 84 West Ham
76 > 76 Birmingham

[Snowball]

It's POSSIBLE for us to win this league without winning at Southampton, but very difficult

Yet odds to win the league are 6/5, but the one game is 11/5 for RFC to win.

[The Cube]

Bookmakers' Spread Betting now Predicts


87 > 88 Saints
87 > 87 Reading
83 > 84 West Ham
76 > 76 Birmingham

So bookmakers think we will drop 7 points of the last 15, despite the fact that we've only dropped 5 of the last 42? Obviously still under the radar.

[cmonurz]

They've probably noticed who we are playing, and adjusted accordingly.

[JC]

We've now won the most games in the division too = 24

The full list

Most wins - 24
Fewest draws - 7
Fewest goals conceded - 36
Most clean sheets - 18 (with Hull)
Longest winning sequence - 8

[Snowball]

Bookmakers' Spread Betting now Predicts


87 > 88 Saints
87 > 87 Reading
83 > 84 West Ham
76 > 76 Birmingham

So bookmakers think we will drop 7 points of the last 15, despite the fact that we've only dropped 5 of the last 42? Obviously still under the radar.

Well if U think they are wrong, lump on

5 Gamages, we'll probably WW or WD the two at home = 4 or 6, and then
we still have to get 2 points away at Brum, Brighton, Saints IF we win both home games just to get to 87


So win both home games AND need a win at one of those three just to scrape 88


Bookies are probably right

[SydenhamRoyal]

Bookmakers' Spread Betting now Predicts


87 > 88 Saints
87 > 87 Reading
83 > 84 West Ham
76 > 76 Birmingham

So bookmakers think we will drop 7 points of the last 15, despite the fact that we've only dropped 5 of the last 42? Obviously still under the radar.

Well if U think they are wrong, lump on

5 Gamages, we'll probably WW or WD the two at home = 4 or 6, and then
we still have to get 2 points away at Brum, Brighton, Saints IF we win both home games just to get to 87

So win both home games AND need a win at one of those three just to scrape 88

Bookies are probably right

I vaguely remember you saying that 85 will be enough for auto. Do you still go with this? - this question is borne out of my nerves being shot to oxf*rd, and not to throw criticism!

[Snowball]

87 > 88 Saints
87 > 87 Reading
83 > 84 West Ham
76 > 76 Birmingham

I vaguely remember you saying that 85 will be enough for auto. Do you still go with this? - this question is borne out of my nerves being shot to oxf*rd, and not to throw criticism!

Well, seeing as the bookies don't expect West Ham to get more than 84...

Although WHU are 75 with 15 points left to play for so THEORETICALLY can still get 90...

Let's hope they fail to beat Brum today

[Snowball]

Here is a VERY surprising statistic (Shocked me!)

If someone else wants to check this I'd appreciate it.

I'm amazed by this stat and find it hard to believe



Church has started 18 games. His last start was 21-Jan-12

Our ppg from the start of the season to 21-Jan was 1.56 ppg
but our ppg with Church starting was a lot higher, and without, a lot lower

27 12-6-9 34-27 +7 GD 42 1.56 Overall


P18 W10 D5 L3 35 Points 1.94 ppg - Church Starting

P09 W02 D1 L6 07 Points 0.78 ppg - Church not Starting




Here are the games

Starting 10-5-3

00 (90) Won 2-0 Scored Doncaster
00 (67) Won 3-2 Bristol (Losing 2-0 when he went off)
00 (75) Won 1-0 Birmingham
00 (71) Won 3-2 Ipswich
00 (61) Won 3-2 Peterboro (Scored)
00 (90) Won 1-0 Leeds (Scored)
00 (88) Won 3-0 Brighton
00 (90) Won 1-0 Ipswich
00 (83) Won 2-1 Ipswich (1-1 when came off)
00 (81) Won 1-0 (99th minute goal)

00 (90) Drew 1-1 Coventry Scored
00 (82) Drew 0-0 Middlesboro
00 (79) Drew 2-2 Derby
00 (81) Drew 1-1 Saints
00 (71) Drew 0-0 Palace

00 (70) Lost 1-0 Blackpool (Scored good goal, disallowed)
00 (61) Lost 3-1 Cardiff
00 (68) Lost 1-0 Hull

[chilipepper91]

But don't we ignore the first six games?

And seeing as he didn't start the first six games that affects the stats greatly, surely.