89 Points?

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Y25
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Re: 89 Points?

by Y25 » 09 Mar 2009 16:27

I think we have a real tough run in

After Saturday we will have 9 games left - 6 of those are AWAY :o

I think we definitely need to win the next two games to stand any chance of automatic

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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 09 Mar 2009 16:42

If we win all our home games and win all our away games
we'll probably win the league

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Re: 89 Points?

by Stranded » 09 Mar 2009 16:44

Y25 I think we have a real tough run in

After Saturday we will have 9 games left - 6 of those are AWAY :o

I think we definitely need to win the next two games to stand any chance of automatic


Given over the past 5 games, we manged to take 1 pt and score 0 goals at home yet 4pts and 4 goals away - that's probably not a bad thing....

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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 09 Mar 2009 16:49

Stranded
Y25 I think we have a real tough run in

After Saturday we will have 9 games left - 6 of those are AWAY :o
I think we definitely need to win the next two games to stand any chance of automatic

Given over the past 5 games, we manged to take 1 pt and score 0 goals at home yet 4pts and 4 goals away - that's probably not a bad thing....



All change tomorrow, big win (has to be) and then a win Saturday

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Re: 89 Points?

by Stranded » 09 Mar 2009 17:06

Snowball
Stranded
Y25 I think we have a real tough run in

After Saturday we will have 9 games left - 6 of those are AWAY :o
I think we definitely need to win the next two games to stand any chance of automatic

Given over the past 5 games, we manged to take 1 pt and score 0 goals at home yet 4pts and 4 goals away - that's probably not a bad thing....



All change tomorrow, big win (has to be) and then a win Saturday


It doesn't have to be - Charlton could be a very dangerous animal tomorrow - ex Reading player in charge and they are pretty much at that stage where they have nothing left to lose and no pressure on them.

If we score first and early then I anticipate the big win, if not it could be another very nervy night.


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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 09 Mar 2009 18:53

Stranded
It doesn't have to be - Charlton could be a very dangerous animal tomorrow - ex Reading player in charge and they are pretty much at that stage where they have nothing left to lose and no pressure on them.

If we score first and early then I anticipate the big win, if not it could be another very nervy night.



Sorry, I meant "has to be" as meaning we cannot afford less than a win. Not that it's automatic.

I would go so far as to say a defeat and we are out of the automatic places barring a miracle, even a draw would be a catastrophe.

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The Rouge
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Re: 89 Points?

by The Rouge » 09 Mar 2009 19:04

I think we will get 82 points and finish either second or third depending on what Brum/Cardiff do.

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Ian Royal
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Re: 89 Points?

by Ian Royal » 10 Mar 2009 00:27

Sadly I can't make it tomorrow. Don't fancy the fun of risking sleeping at Kings Cross if I miss my last train. So I shall be seeing Ipswich for the second time this season on saturday. Hopefully I'll be watching a Reading team unbeaten in 3, sitting pretty on 66 points.

Enjoy the game and say Hi to Parky for me!

Unhappily I think we'll perk up, but not enough and end up at about 78pts, 3rd or 4th.

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Re: 89 Points?

by North Somerset Royal » 10 Mar 2009 00:42

Yes I think CMR's projection above is about right. I just hope for two things. Firstly that our last match with Brum is not crucial to us getting in the play offs and secondly (assuming we make the play offs) that we dont get drawn at home in the first leg of the semi.


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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 10 Mar 2009 07:59

Hey we now have Little, Kitson, Tabb and Harding and (hopefully) a resurgent Long and Kebe

That ought to be one helluva step up in buzz and possibilities for the next 11 games

I'm most worried about the next two, the (should be) relatively-easy home games

IF we can win both and say be 6-0 better on GD then we will suddenly have a run going

WDWW 10-3 = 10 points = 2.5 per game and we can go away and do well.

I fully expect a big win tonight and a solid win on the weekend

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Re: 89 Points?

by Mr Angry » 10 Mar 2009 09:11

GD isn't going to be the issue - points will be; ANY win tonight will be welcome. Clearly, a convincing win will be invaluable for confidence, but the single most vital thing tonight is any sort of win.

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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 10 Mar 2009 12:22

Mr Angry GD isn't going to be the issue - points will be; ANY win tonight will be welcome. Clearly, a convincing win will be invaluable for confidence, but the single most vital thing tonight is any sort of win.



Agree winning is crucial, but say we average 2 points a game, winning 1-0s and drawing 0-0 or 1-1 and get one bad defeat, say 3-0

11 games W6 (all 1-0) D4 (1-1, 1-1, 0-0, 0-0,) L1 (3-0) +3 GD final points 85, (F70 A37) GD 33

Cardiff win their game in hand 2-0 (GD = 21) They W6 (all 2-0) D5 (all 1-1) (F68 A35) GD 33



We would be absolutely equal on games, points, Goal Difference... with those not-exceptional results we would scrape home on goals scored.

We need a GD of about 40 for GD to still be worth that extra "point"

IF Cardiff win their game in hand, obviously they are a real threat to us, being a single point behind us then.

Our GD is always likely to be better than Birmingham's (presuming we now have comparable points-winning runs) which means we need to WD our two-in-hand at Doncaster and Derby

And it wouldn't take much for Wolves to catch our GD, and they've scored more goals.

Just a 4-0 tonight and 4-0 Saturday, and then 1-0s will be fine!

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Re: 89 Points?

by CMRoyal » 10 Mar 2009 12:34

Snowball
Mr Angry GD isn't going to be the issue - points will be; ANY win tonight will be welcome. Clearly, a convincing win will be invaluable for confidence, but the single most vital thing tonight is any sort of win.



Agree winning is crucial, but say we average 2 points a game, winning 1-0s and drawing 0-0 or 1-1 and get one bad defeat, say 3-0

11 games W6 (all 1-0) D4 (1-1, 1-1, 0-0, 0-0,) L1 (3-0) +3 GD final points 85, (F70 A37) GD 33

Cardiff win their game in hand 2-0 (GD = 21) They W6 (all 2-0) D5 (all 1-1) (F68 A35) GD 33



We would be absolutely equal on games, points, Goal Difference... with those not-exceptional results we would scrape home on goals scored.


I think a three-goal defeat would be exceptional. Even the craven performances against Charlton, Saints and Bristol City never resulted in that kind of deficit. Mr Angry's right, any win will do - Cardiff have to make up an eleven-point GD gap in twelve games - if they do that, it'll almost certainly be because they've gained more points than us anyway.


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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 08 May 2009 10:12

Snowball
NOT LOSING at home to Birmingham, Sheffield United and Bristol will also be important
results because they deny these teams the chance or outside chance of catching us



OUCH!

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Re: 89 Points?

by Shaka's Giant Hands » 08 May 2009 10:28

Snowball
Snowball
NOT LOSING at home to Birmingham, Sheffield United and Bristol will also be important
results because they deny these teams the chance or outside chance of catching us



OUCH!


Snowball...your really starting to get on my tits now.

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SLAMMED
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Re: 89 Points?

by SLAMMED » 08 May 2009 10:29

Snowball = cock

tlcs
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Re: 89 Points?

by tlcs » 08 May 2009 10:31

Two questions Snowball



1) Are you married ??

IF NOT

2) Do they let you out for the weekends at your institution

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Re: 89 Points?

by SLAMMED » 08 May 2009 10:32

Im surprised he manages to type while wearing a straight jacket.

Snowball
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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 08 May 2009 10:53

Snowball
But even if you use the stats of the season so far Swansea should come home above Bristol

Worse-case scenario I'd see Swansea 2 points clear of Bristol. I actually think the gap will be a lot more

62-66 Bristol



Result Bristol 10th on 61 points, Swansea 7 points clear of them (tho I thought Swansea would do a little better)

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Re: 89 Points?

by Snowball » 08 May 2009 10:56

Snowball All I know is Bristol WON'T make the play-offs

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