Sunderland (a) Predictions

Lacoste

Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Lacoste » 10 Dec 2012 09:54

TBH if we are going to lose, I would rather lose by two or three goals to ensure Brian cant have any excuses and the team turns on him futher. He would have to go then, although he should have gone already.

2-0 Sunderland.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by maffff » 10 Dec 2012 09:59

4-0 - Fletcher x4. H/T 0-0.
Long journey back home on Wednesday. Why-oh-why do I put myself through this.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Rex » 10 Dec 2012 10:01

maffff 4-0 - Fletcher x4. H/T 0-0.
Long journey back home on Wednesday. Why-oh-why do I put myself through this.


03.30 home - up for work at 04.30. :? :lol: I feel a tired and emotional day the next day.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Royalclapper » 10 Dec 2012 10:08

Mackems 2-1 Reading

o'Neill and McD to receive 3 official warnings for continuously sipping quality brandy from their shared hip flask in an attempt to keep warm and blank out the shit displays from their players.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by riverroyal » 10 Dec 2012 10:10

Hopefully we will win, 2-1 . . . .


But realisitcally I think we will lose 2-1 and McDermott will bring out the same catchphrase "we lost but we will go again next game" . . . .


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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by maffff » 10 Dec 2012 10:22

royalexile
maffff 4-0 - Fletcher x4. H/T 0-0.
Long journey back home on Wednesday. Why-oh-why do I put myself through this.


03.30 home - up for work at 04.30. :? :lol: I feel a tired and emotional day the next day.


:shock: mentalist.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Haag Royal » 10 Dec 2012 10:47

Hat's of to all those going tomorrow. I tried to get a flight from here but KLM wanted Euro 550 return...

Sorry but I can't see the trend ending unless someone else gets the Captains armband and fires the team up a bit.

Sunderland 2-0 Reading

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by royal_ross » 10 Dec 2012 10:48

somersetroyal Sunderland 0
Reading 0

A utterly poor game with zero excitement , why am I making the 750 mile round trip to watch this game, I must be mad


^ this, loyal fan though

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by andrew1957 » 10 Dec 2012 10:59

Players are letting us down at the moment so it is hard to see past a defeat.
However, as Sunderland are also very poor I think it will be 1-1.


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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by royal67 » 10 Dec 2012 11:03

We get beaten, pointless sound bites after the game, giving 110%, got to take the positives etc......

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by RoyalBlue » 10 Dec 2012 13:14

Complete and utter admiration for those who are making the trip.

I assume that JM will also be making the trip, having dished out the lecture about getting behind the team.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by RoyalBlue » 10 Dec 2012 13:15

royal67 We get beaten, pointless sound bites after the game, giving 110%, got to take the positives etc......


Not to forget, of course, 'It looked like 0-0 for a long time (until they scored)'! :twisted:

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Alexander Litvinenko » 10 Dec 2012 13:17

RoyalBlue I assume that JM will also be making the trip, having dished out the lecture about getting behind the team.


Yes, but I doubt he'll be taking 2 days off work, driving about 11 hours and staying overnight in a Travelodge to make it happen.


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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by RFCSPACE » 10 Dec 2012 13:19

Sunderland 0-3 Reading

Guthrie hat-trick and Stuart Taylor saves 4 penalties.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by higher » 11 Dec 2012 16:24

Filched from a popular betting forum seems this is nailed on for a 1-1 draw:

.54 is Sunderland's home attack strength. It is calculated by taking the # of goals Sunderland has scored at home this season 6 divided by the # games Sunderland has played at home 7 and then divided by the league average of goals (1.589) scored at home last season. So, 6/7 = .86 divided by 1.589 = .54. 1.17 is Sunderland's home defence strength. Sunderland has allowed 10 goals in 7 games, so 10/7 = 1.43 divided by the league average of goals allowed at home last season (1.216) = 1.17. In simple terms Sunderland has scored 46% fewer goals than the average premier league team this season and allowed 17% more than the average premier league team.

The same calculation can be performed for Readings performance on the road. Reading attack strength is the # of goals they have scored on the road divided by the # of games, hence 7/8 = .88 divided by (1.216) = .82 Reading has scored 18% fewer goals than the average premier league team. To calculate Reading's defence strength, take the # of goals Reading has allowed on the road, 14 divided by the # of games 8 = 1.75 divided by the average # of goals a home team scored last season (1.589) = 1.10 So Reading allows 10% more goals on the road than the average premier league team.

Now we have the home attack strength for Sunderland .54 and Sunderland home defence strength 1.17 and vice versa we have Readings road attack strength .82 and road defence strength 1.10.

So we take Sunderlands home attack .54 multiplied x Readings road defence 1.10, .54 x 1.10 = 0.594078 multiplied x the average # of goals scored by a home team last season 1.589 to get 0.94399 which I then round up to the nearest whole number in this case 1.

Perform the same calculation for Reading. Reading's road attack .82 multiplied x Sunderland's home defence 1.17 = 0.966128 multiplied by the average # of goals by an away team last season (1.216) = 1.174812 which I then round down to the nearest whole number in this case 1.

So based on the these calculation I believe that Sunderland-Reading will end in a 1-1 draw. This just might be the coordinates to buried treasure. Below is the calculation for Mondays Fulham-Newcastle match.

10-Dec Fulham 1.17 1.08 1.2609 1.589 2.00357 2
Newcastle 0.82 1.17 0.966128 1.216 1.174812 1

What a load of old mathematical gobbledegook this one is nailed on for a 1-3 royals win coz I had a dream :)

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by paulholsgrove83 » 11 Dec 2012 16:37

Fletcher missing for Sunderland which is a big loss for them, however i still think this will be similar to the Villa game, i actually believe Sunderland have a better side than Villa.

Sunderland 3
O'Shea
Johnson
Wickham

Reading 1
Le Fondre

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by USA_Loyal_Royal » 11 Dec 2012 16:40

praying for a win. if we have guthrie/pog in 1-0 win

if we continue to play ledge/tabb without pog 2-0 loss.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Rea Ding » 11 Dec 2012 17:05

2-1 to reading, le fondre X2, Fletcher

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Simon's Church » 11 Dec 2012 17:07

Called off at 7.30, massive lolz all round.

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Re: Sunderland (a) Predictions

by Fox Talbot » 11 Dec 2012 17:20

Simon's Church Called off at 7.30, massive lolz all round.


Yes, no chance of it being on if it's anything like it is here. FOGGY.

On the other hand we're 300 miles away from Sunlan.

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