The run-in: Predictions

[MmmMonsterMunch]

None of the teams below us will get more than 15 from 6 games and even that is a tall order. Forest play Brighton on the final day too so one or both will drop points.

If we get 73 points that will definitely be enough by virtue of our goal difference. 72 would probably do it too. If we can secure 9 points from the next 5 games that should see us over the line as I would fancy us to get something against Burnley as they'll be on their holidays by then.

Next game is huge. Win that and I would not bet against us. Bournemouth would be out of the race then and only the other 3 to worry about.

[RoyallyFcuked]

Bournemouth 1-1 Reading
Reading 1-1 Leicester
Wigan 2-1 Reading
Reading 2-1 Boro
Doncaster 1-3 Reading
Reading 0-0 Burnley

9 points should see us finish in 6th place

URZZZ

[Reading4eva]

None of the teams below us will get more than 15 from 6 games and even that is a tall order. Forest play Brighton on the final day too so one or both will drop points.

If we get 73 points that will definitely be enough by virtue of our goal difference. 72 would probably do it too. If we can secure 9 points from the next 5 games that should see us over the line as I would fancy us to get something against Burnley as they'll be on their holidays by then.

Next game is huge. Win that and I would not bet against us. Bournemouth would be out of the race then and only the other 3 to worry about.

I can see us being clear if we beat Bournemouth as I really don't fancy Brighton or Forest to pick up max points from their next 2 games. Ipswich I think will but I'm happier being in a two horse race with them than a race with the 4 of them with Bournemouth right up our arse.

[The Real Sandhurst Royal]

6th place for me with 72 points

Bournemouth 69
Brighton 68
Ipswich 66
Forest 66

[tee peg]

Bournemouth 0-0 reading D
Reading 1-1 Leicester D
Wigan 1-0 Reading L
Reading 1-0 Boro W
Doncaster 0-0 Reading D
Reading 1-0 Burnley W

[maffff]

Bournemouth 0-2 Reading - good away momentum
Reading 1-0 Leicester - promotion secured, distance between them and Burnley, ease up a little. Roy magic.
Wigan 1-1 Reading - Wigan already secured in playoffs nothing to play for, we have away form.
Reading 5-0 Boro - Boro have nothing to play for, we start to hit form
Doncaster 1-2 Reading - Donny have nothing to play for, Sharp scores but we overcome it.
Reading 4-1 Burnley - Burnley have nothing to play for. We have form and momentum into playoffs.

18points. 81points. +27 GD

We sneak 3rd.
Reading play Derby
QPR play Wigan

We play QPR in the final.

Drenthe hat trick. Obita. JOBBBIIIIIII.


*such events may or may not happen

[Platypuss]

5 wins and a draw yields 18 points? OK...

[Snowball]

5 wins and a draw yields 18 points? OK...

It does if you're an optimist...

[Snowball]

Championship Fixtures

Tuesday 8th April 2014

Blackburn v QPR
Bournemouth v Reading
Huddersfield v Ipswich
Leicester v Brighton
Nottm Forest v Sheff Wed
Wigan v Millwall
Blackpool v Derby

Saturday 12th April 2014

QPR v Nottm Forest
Brighton v Charlton
Derby v Huddersfield
Ipswich v Doncaster
Yeovil v Bournemouth

Monday 14th April 2014

Reading v Leicester


Tuesday 15th April 2014

Friday 18th April 2014

Blackburn v Yeovil
Bournemouth v Sheff Wed
Huddersfield v Brighton
Wigan v Reading
Doncaster v Derby

Saturday 19th April 2014

Leicester v QPR
Nottm Forest v Birmingham
Watford v Ipswich

Monday 21st April 2014

Birmingham v Blackburn
Brighton v Blackpool
Burnley v Wigan
Ipswich v Bournemouth
QPR v Watford
Leeds v Nottm Forest

Tuesday 22nd April 2014

Reading v Middlesbrough 20:00

Friday 25th April 2014

Brighton v Yeovil

Saturday 26th April 2014

Burnley v Ipswich
Bournemouth v Nottm Forest
Charlton v Blackburn
Derby v Watford
Doncaster v Reading
QPR v Millwall
Wigan v Blackpool

Tuesday 29th April 2014

Birmingham v Wigan 19:45

Saturday 3rd May 2014

Barnsley v QPR
Blackburn v Wigan
Ipswich v Sheff Wed
Leeds v Derby
Millwall v Bournemouth
Nottm Forest v Brighton
Reading v Burnley

[Snowball]

If you talk about "gut feel" a bad defeat at Bournemouth and sure, we could crash out of
contention quite quickly, still having to play Leicester, Burnley Wigan.

Conversely, win there and it's "almost done"

But looking at form since January, or the last six games and there has to be
a MASSIVE change in form for Reading to lose it now.

We are averaging almost 2 points a game last six (11).

We are averaging 1.71 since January 1st (a 79 point season)(Bournemouth, ditto)


Points gained in last 6 games, GD

13 GD +6 Bournemouth
11 GD +2 Reading
10 GD +2 QPR
10 GD +0 Ipswich
09 GD +1 Wigan
08 GD +6 Derby
05 GD -3 Brighton
03 GD -7 Forest

If Bournemouth win their last six games they get 76

I think they have to do that. W5D1 would give them 74

Points if current (last six) form maintained for last six games


80 (GD 14) QPR
77 (GD 29) Derby
76 (GD 16) Wigan
74 (GD 17) Reading (might be 72/73 if they lose at Bournemouth)
_______________________

72 (GD 05) Bournemouth (at 2.1 per game, say 73 if they beat Reading)
68 (GD 05) Ipswich
63 (GD 03) Brighton
61 (GD 00) Forest

If Bournemouth DO make it, it will by beating us Tuesday (that's for sure) and even then it
will go to the last day. IMO Forest, Brighton are out of it and Ipswich have very very little chance

The interesting team for me is Wigan. I thought they were doing a lot better than 1.5 points per game
and they have the distraction of the FA Cup. Win or lose the Wembley semi it will be hard to switch
to Championship games and win them.

[melonhead]

Bournemouth 0-1 Reading
Reading 0-0Leicester
Wigan 2-2 Reading
Reading 1-1 Boro
Doncaster 0-1 Reading
Reading 0-0 Burnley

you negative bar steward, bring back our Brendy.

Bournemouth 3 - 28 Reading
reading 432 - 11 leicester
wigan 1- 78 Reading
Reading 796012 - 0 Boro
Doncaster 0 - 328 Reading
Reading 999 - 7 Burnley

[tee peg]

Bournemouth 3 - 28 Reading
reading 432 - 11 leicester
wigan 1- 78 Reading
Reading 796012 - 0 Boro
Doncaster 0 - 328 Reading
Reading 999 - 7 Burnley[/quote]

I think we will keep a clean sheet against Wigan.

[Unbelievable Jeff]

Going to go for a worst case scenario

Bournemouth 2-2 Reading
Reading 0-1 Leicester
Wigan 2-1 Reading
Reading 2-1 Boro
Doncaster 0-3 Reading
Reading 0-0 Burnley

that makes 8 points which should be enough as the chasing pack would need 14 points and on their current form is very unlikely

I think a win on Tuesday will give us a top 6 finish baring a horrendous last 5 games

Surely worst case scenario would be losing every game

what I meant was the minimum we would realistically need to remain in play-offs, apologies.

[melonhead]

Bournemouth 3 - 28 Reading
reading 432 - 11 leicester
wigan 1- 78 Reading
Reading 796012 - 0 Boro
Doncaster 0 - 328 Reading
Reading 999 - 7 Burnley

I think we will keep a clean sheet against Wigan.[/quote]
It's all about opinions I guess

[billybraggsbeard]

I also think it will be heavily influenced by how well we do tomorrow night a draw or even better a win will just about sort us, a Bournemouth win and it could be squeaky bum time. DDLWWD Wembley here we come

[maffff]

5 wins and a draw yields 18 points? OK...

It does if you're an optimist...

Was meant to read 1-2.....

[Schards#2]

Bournemouth 4-1 Reading
Reading 0-2 Leicester
Wigan 1-0 Reading
Reading 2-0 Middlesborough
Doncaster 0-1 Reading
Reading 2-0 Burnley (burnley already guaranteed finishing 2nd and on the beach)

9 points, should be just enough

[LoyalRoyal22]

Bournemouth 2-2 Reading
Reading 1-1 Leicester
Wigan 1-0 Reading
Reading 1-0 Middlesbrough
Doncaster 0-2 Reading
Reading 2-1 Burnley

[BraisingsteakRoyal]

Fancy Brighton to win at Leicester tonight, which would change the outlook a little bit.

Players have probably been on the p1ss since Saturday, and teams often fail to win their 'homecoming' match.

[Horsham Royal]

Bournemouth 3 - 28 Reading
reading 432 - 11 leicester
wigan 1- 78 Reading
Reading 796012 - 0 Boro
Doncaster 0 - 328 Reading
Reading 999 - 7 Burnley

A bit disappointed you've not named the scorers tbh.