by SCIAG »
25 Jan 2022 12:36
Date of post: 2 July 2021
paultheroyal SCIAG paultheroyal ACL - minimum 9 months - he’s out for season. FFS.
That's incorrect. Average downtime after reconstruction is 6.5 months out of training and 7.4 months out of competition. The best case scenario (and this is very unlikely) is three months out of training and another two weeks to regain match fitness, in which case he could be back playing in mid-October. I would say that the chances of Meite playing before the New Year are about the same as the chances of the injury ending his career, although there is a very high chance the quality of his play will be affected. It is entirely reasonable to expect him to be playing in February or March, though of course it is by no means guaranteed.
Source:
https://bjsm.bmj.com/content/50/12/744.long
Rubbish - and that is from my own experience. 9 months is the target date for any sort of return - impact and full fitness, but for a professional footballer he needs to get fully fit. He wont play in 21/22 season.
I said a typical injury would be 6.5 months out of training. 6.5 months later, he is playing for the u23s.
You said that was rubbish and it would be 9 months minimum. Elsewhere you said he would miss the whole season.
At no point did I or anyone else say “he will definitely be back before the New Year”, merely that it was about as likely as it ending his career.
No, it isn’t an incredible recovery, it’s only marginally ahead of average. I knew that because I looked at the data. You dismissed it out of hand.
I know that I’m perhaps revelling in this more than I should do, but frankly it is pretty rare to make a verifiable prediction about the future where someone is so confident in their wrongness without it being lost to the internet memory hole. In particular, I think you calling it “rubbish” was arrogant.