Where will we be with ten games left?

[Snowball]

I looked at the next 6 games (7 for Southampton)
and guesstimated the results

QPR and Villa look in big trouble, and if we do beat Wigan we
should have crept out of the bottom 3

28 -14 28 Southampton
28 -13 28 Newcastle
28 -16 25 Reading
28 -22 22 Wigan
28 -34 20 Villa
28 -24 19 QPR


Saints

0 0-3 Chelsea Away
1 1-1 Everton Home
0 0-3 Man Utd Away
1 1-1 Wigan Away
1 1-1 Man City Home
1 1-1 Newcastle Away
3 2-0 QPR Home

7 Points 6-10

P28 GD -14 28 Points



Newcastle

1 1-1 Reading Home
3 1-0 Villa Away
1 1-1 Chelsea Home
1 1-1 Saints Home
0 0-2 Swansea Away
1 1-1 Stoke Home

7 Points -01

WIGAN

1 1-1 Sunderland Home
0 1-2 Stoke Away
1 1-1 Saints Home
0 0-3 Chelsea Away
0 0-1 Reading Away
1 1-1 Liverpool Home

3 Points -5

Villa

0 0-1 WBA Away
0 0-1 Newcastle Home
0 0-2 Everton Away
1 0-0 West Ham Home
0 0-3 Arsenal Away
0 0-2 Man City Home
1 Pont -9 GD

Reading

1 1-1 Newcastle Away
1 1-1 Chelsea Home
3 2-1 Sunderland Home
1 1-1 Stoke Away
3 1-0 Wigan Home
0 0-2 Everton Away

9 Points 0 GD

QPR

1 1-1 West Ham Away
0 0-2 Man City Home
3 1-0 Norwich Home
0 0-2 Swansea Away
1 1-1 Man Utd Home
0 0-2 Saints Away

5 Points -5 GD

[SPARTA]

In desperate need of points.

[SLAMMED]

In the premier league with 10 games to go.

[Ian Royal]

I'll be in Cambridge being an arse, you'll still be up your own bum, Reading FC will still be in the Premier League and based in Reading.

[LoyalRoyal22]

I sense this weekend is massive to be honest. A win could give us some real momentum and belief

[redscot]

Around now is when Snowball season starts. He looks up books (and maybe the web) looking for answers. He adds his own wisdom and posts the results. I quite like reading most of the shorter ones, mainly to get some hope from it. (You do not have to understand the complicated details, to get hope....)

[Mid Sussex Royal]

Not sure these are particualrly good forecasts:

Villa could easily beat West Ham at home, who have gone to pieces away, and Newcastle.

Points for us at Stoke and at home to Chelsea, with their current away form? I'll eat my scarf if we get any points from that game.

We will not get 15 points from the "must win" 5 home games and working on an optimistic 11 points (ie 3 wins 2 draws) , then if you write off Man U, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Everton that prob leaves 10 needed from the remaining 7 which is a very tall order. We will prob need at least one away win somewhere, something we have not come close to achieving yet.

[redscot]

This year it will be tight at the bottom. This means it will be few points between the teams. If Reading and QPR catch up, then there will 5-6 teams fighting for survival. The more points QPR take of other teams around Reading the better.

[SydenhamRoyal]

[quote="Snowball"]I looked at the next 6 games (7 for Southampton)
and guesstimated the results

QPR and Villa look in big trouble, and if we do beat Wigan we
should have crept out of the bottom 3

28 -14 28 Southampton
28 -13 28 Newcastle
28 -16 25 Reading
28 -22 22 Wigan
28 -34 20 Villa
28 -24 19 QPR

Whilst I am clearly interested in where we are with 10 games left, I am even more interested in where we will be with 1 game left (can I stand the nerves of the last game at West Ham if we have to get a result) and I am ultimately really only interested in the only position that matters: where we are with no games left.

[Albert Spangler]

28 games into a soul-destroying relegation campaign.

[cmonurz]

I think the calculation with 10 games to go will look something like "probably need to win 6 or 7 of these games to stay up oh well at least we haven't got United, Arsenal, Liverpool and City to play, oh fcuk. arshavin, don't do that again, you're injured for four weeks'.

[Jink]

We really need to sign some quality, I.e Arshavin/Huddlestone. The club would surely gamble on getting in these 2 if it wouls gueantee us to survive relegation?

If we can get these boys in we will soon rack up the points and rapidly move up the table.

BM/NHL/JM/AZ - I hope you read this post and understand how simple it could be to survive by just signing quality Premiership experienced players.

[MmmMonsterMunch]

We need 7 wins or 6 wins & a couple of draws. Going to be hard.

We absolutely need to win on Sat & we need 1-2 shock results along the way.

[peeping bernal]

Who cares as long as we are 17th or higher when there are no game's left.

[mr_number]

BM/NHL/JM/AZ - I hope you read this post and understand how simple it could be to survive by just signing quality Premiership experienced players.

Shit. You're right. I can't believe no one's considered this.

[Maguire]

Haven't a pfucking clue. Somewhere near the bottom is my best guess.

[AbovetheI]

In the premier league with 10 games to go.

I also would like to agree with this

[Snowball]

Well,yeah, "somewhere near the bottom" is about right.

I have us just outside the bottom three.

Villa just look lacking in experience. Hard to see them getting out of trouble,
and if they do, they'll be taking points off our rivals. Of course, they might lose their
manager any time soon, then who knows? But they look doomed to me.

QPR have a lot of quality players and are looking to buy more, but the simple facts are
they are two points back on us and with a worse GD. Again, if they are to get out of trouble
they will do so by beating our rivals.

Frankly, I thought they'd finish well clear of RFC, but so far, they don't really look
like they've turned the corner.

So, ATM, I would have to expect those two to finish bottom and second bottom (my bet would be Villa
to finish up the bottom club)

That, if correct, leaves one place to fight out... 18th, for RFC, Wigan or a club above collapsing?

I personally worry about the game Newcastle v RFC but if we COULD win there, I could see Newcastle
in serious trouble as they have European games to trouble them on top of everything else

[Snowball]

Not sure these are particualrly good forecasts:

Villa could easily beat West Ham at home, who have gone to pieces away, and Newcastle.

You may well be right. I wouldn't dream of thinking more than 1-2 games ahead
for relegation-threatened clubs.

Villa, though, look a total mess, getting worse while other clubs are improving.

Points for us at Stoke and at home to Chelsea, with their current away form? I'll eat my scarf if we get any points from that game.

I have us drawing both, without feeling confident about either result.

However, two defeats and we'd still be above Wigan IF we beat Wigan, that is.

We will not get 15 points from the "must win" 5 home games and working on an optimistic 11 points (ie 3 wins 2 draws) , then if you write off Man U, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Everton that prob leaves 10 needed from the remaining 7 which is a very tall order. We will prob need at least one away win somewhere, something we have not come close to achieving yet.

I don't look at things like that.

Instead, can we creep closer?

We've got it back to needing 4 extra points in 16 games!!

[MmmMonsterMunch]

Well,yeah, "somewhere near the bottom" is about right.

I have us just outside the bottom three.

Villa just look lacking in experience. Hard to see them getting out of trouble,
and if they do, they'll be taking points off our rivals. Of course, they might lose their
manager any time soon, then who knows? But they look doomed to me.

QPR have a lot of quality players and are looking to buy more, but the simple facts are
they are two points back on us and with a worse GD. Again, if they are to get out of trouble
they will do so by beating our rivals.

Frankly, I thought they'd finish well clear of RFC, but so far, they don't really look
like they've turned the corner.

So, ATM, I would have to expect those two to finish bottom and second bottom (my bet would be Villa
to finish up the bottom club)

That, if correct, leaves one place to fight out... 18th, for RFC, Wigan or a club above collapsing?

I personally worry about the game Newcastle v RFC but if we COULD win there, I could see Newcastle
in serious trouble as they have European games to trouble them on top of everything else

I wouldn't assume Villa will go. Reckon Lambert is on the brink & whoever comes in will return Bent to the starting 11 immediately I'd guess.