THE BETTING THREAD

7785 posts
User avatar
RG30
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6198
Joined: 26 Jul 2005 20:42

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 29 May 2012 13:04

lowerwestjnr
RG30 You need an odds on card aswell

How do you get one of those?


I can sign you up for one

Tony Le Mesmer
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3404
Joined: 17 Jun 2005 20:37
Location: Dundee in my bare feet

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tony Le Mesmer » 30 May 2012 10:10

Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

RoyalJames101
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 1053
Joined: 24 Sep 2010 20:55

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalJames101 » 30 May 2012 22:46

Holland & Lewandowksi top scorer 200/1.

User avatar
The Rouge
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 2560
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 16:51
Location: Giving it the Double Djokovic

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by The Rouge » 31 May 2012 09:11

So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?

KDRF
Member
Posts: 163
Joined: 03 Sep 2010 18:22

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by KDRF » 31 May 2012 14:05

The Rouge So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?

I think i dont understand.


User avatar
FinchOwl
Member
Posts: 235
Joined: 05 Dec 2005 14:53
Location: Finch - The home of football

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by FinchOwl » 31 May 2012 15:11

The Rouge So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?


Buy Holland, surely? Fairly certain they will get to the semi's at least as paired with group A for the QF's. They look the value to me

User avatar
RG30
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6198
Joined: 26 Jul 2005 20:42

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 31 May 2012 17:55

Buy:Germany, France, Croatia

Sell: Holland, Italy and Portugal

Rev Algenon Stickleback H
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3187
Joined: 22 Apr 2004 20:15

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Rev Algenon Stickleback H » 02 Jun 2012 22:38

Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.

RoyalX
Member
Posts: 270
Joined: 01 Aug 2009 19:45

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalX » 03 Jun 2012 16:55

Rev Algenon Stickleback H
Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


Victor Meldrew
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6716
Joined: 12 Apr 2005 19:22
Location: South Coast

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Victor Meldrew » 03 Jun 2012 20:18

RoyalX
Rev Algenon Stickleback H
Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


Are Brazil using Pele and Zico as their over-aged players or are they going with the spirit of the Olympics and just playing the young 'uns?
As for the Euros it might be worth waiting till the quarters to have a bet as there are a couple of groups of death but if Germany,Holland and Spain all get through I doubt that their prices will be much reduced.
I am thinking of selling total corners which have been calculated as an average of about 10.5 per game but a lot of teams will play as they do in the Champs leaguue where the corner count is usually lower than in English football and in a summer tournament teams will be less inclined to bomb forward.
That's the theory anyway.

User avatar
Tredder
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 3018
Joined: 05 Jan 2005 21:17
Location: Lower Wokingham

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tredder » 03 Jun 2012 20:45

Euro 2012 bets

Germany 7/2
Russia 22 e/w

Top Scorer

Cassano 50/1
Kerzhakov 50/1

Both e/w 1/4 odds first 4.

chilipepper91
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 2158
Joined: 03 Mar 2005 20:30

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by chilipepper91 » 03 Jun 2012 22:36

Group winners: Russia, Holland, Spain, France - 26/1
Spain-France final - 20/1
Benzema top scorer 16/1 (e/w)

User avatar
Tredder
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 3018
Joined: 05 Jan 2005 21:17
Location: Lower Wokingham

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tredder » 04 Jun 2012 01:30

Russia to win Friday 6/5 and also 6/4 to win their group, huge single bets


RoyalX
Member
Posts: 270
Joined: 01 Aug 2009 19:45

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalX » 04 Jun 2012 15:50

Victor Meldrew
RoyalX
Rev Algenon Stickleback H How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


Are Brazil using Pele and Zico as their over-aged players or are they going with the spirit of the Olympics and just playing the young 'uns?
As for the Euros it might be worth waiting till the quarters to have a bet as there are a couple of groups of death but if Germany,Holland and Spain all get through I doubt that their prices will be much reduced.
I am thinking of selling total corners which have been calculated as an average of about 10.5 per game but a lot of teams will play as they do in the Champs leaguue where the corner count is usually lower than in English football and in a summer tournament teams will be less inclined to bomb forward.
That's the theory anyway.


They've included 5 overage players in their current squad - Thiago Silva, David Luiz, Marcelo, Hulk and Jefferson (GK). Lost 2-0 last night to the full Mexican team - Thiago Silva, Marcelo and Hulk played.

User avatar
Pepe the Horseman
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 18312
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 10:24
Location: Putting right what once went wrong

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Pepe the Horseman » 06 Jun 2012 20:07

All over Germany at 6/1 with PP. When it's, it's gone! http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-b ... ids=702164

buzzby
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 1090
Joined: 19 Apr 2004 09:22
Location: Portsmouth

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by buzzby » 06 Jun 2012 21:18

Pepe the Horseman All over Germany at 6/1 with PP. When it's, it's gone! http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-b ... ids=702164


Gone already, back to 3/1

User avatar
RG30
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6198
Joined: 26 Jul 2005 20:42

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 07 Jun 2012 00:18

Germany @ 4/1
Young top England goalscorer 7/1 & Lewandowski top Poland goalscorer @ 15/8 in a double

User avatar
Pepe the Horseman
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 18312
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 10:24
Location: Putting right what once went wrong

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Pepe the Horseman » 07 Jun 2012 09:14

RG30 Germany @ 4/1
Young top England goalscorer 7/1 & Lewandowski top Poland goalscorer @ 15/8 in a double


Was gonna go for that myself. 66/1 e/w is tempting as well.

User avatar
Simon's Church
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3888
Joined: 16 Jul 2011 19:11

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Simon's Church » 07 Jun 2012 10:00

Got Malouda for top scorer 66/1, relatively weak group and should be fresh after barely playing this season.

User avatar
LWJ
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 7561
Joined: 10 Aug 2007 09:59
Location: Hobnob Prediction League Champion 2011/2012, 2020/2021

Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by LWJ » 07 Jun 2012 11:59

Germany, Russia and Spain to win their opening games treble 6/1

7785 posts

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 82 guests

It is currently 26 Nov 2024 03:13