Choose your three to go down [now with poll]

[bassavage]

Just curious, how many times has the bottom three after 27/28 games REMAINED the bottom three and gone down? Anyone know?

What's the possibility of Preston dropping into real trouble?

http://www.statto.com/football/stats/en ... 2009-02-03

From this time last year. Watford in the bottom 3 - finished 13th. Something to do with the manager I think.

LOL at us in 2nd.

[Snowball]

Wow, we should get that manager in. What was his name?

[Harpers So Solid Crew]

Surely you have to use the table from the same number of games played, rather than the date, so.

http://www.statto.com/football/stats/en ... 2009-01-24

[Snowball]

Looking at the last seven Championship seasons, the sides in Reading’s current precarious position (22nd) have survived 3 times from 7 attempts

Sides in 23rd after 27 games survived 2/7 times

Sides in 24th place were relegated every time.


21 finished 22 Norwich City
22 finished 23 Southampton
23 finished 14 Doncaster
24 finished 24 Charlton


19 finished 22 Leicester
22 finished 15 Preston
23 finished 23 Scunthorpe
24 finished 24 Colchester

19 finished 23 Luton
22 finished 20 Barnsley
23 finished 22 Southend
24 finished 24 Leeds


22 finished 22 Gillingham
23 finished 23 Forest
24 finished 24 Rotherham

22 finished 20 Derby
14 finished 22 Wallsall
23 finished 23 Bradford City
24 finished 24 Wimbledon

22 finished 21 STOKE
23 finished 22 Wednesday
24 finished 23 Brighton
21 finished 24 Grimsby

19 finished 23 Barnsley
20 finished 22 Crewe
22 finished 19 Grimsby
23 finished 20 Wednesday
24 finished 24 Stockport


Sides in 22nd place after 27 games finished 23-22-22-21 (relegated) final position and 20-19-15 (survived)

Sides in 23rd place after 27 games finished 23-23-22-22-22 (relegated) final position and 20-14 (survived)

Sides in 24th place after 27 games finished 24th 6 times, 23 once (all relegated)

[SLAMMED]

Thanks for that.

[Victor Meldrew]

Looking at the last seven Championship seasons, the sides in Reading’s current precarious position (22nd) have survived 3 times from 7 attempts

Sides in 23rd after 27 games survived 2/7 times

Sides in 24th place were relegated every time.


21 finished 22 Norwich City
22 finished 23 Southampton
23 finished 14 Doncaster
24 finished 24 Charlton


19 finished 22 Leicester
22 finished 15 Preston
23 finished 23 Scunthorpe
24 finished 24 Colchester

19 finished 23 Luton
22 finished 20 Barnsley
23 finished 22 Southend
24 finished 24 Leeds


22 finished 22 Gillingham
23 finished 23 Forest
24 finished 24 Rotherham

22 finished 20 Derby
14 finished 22 Wallsall
23 finished 23 Bradford City
24 finished 24 Wimbledon

22 finished 21 STOKE
23 finished 22 Wednesday
24 finished 23 Brighton
21 finished 24 Grimsby

19 finished 23 Barnsley
20 finished 22 Crewe
22 finished 19 Grimsby
23 finished 20 Wednesday
24 finished 24 Stockport


Sides in 22nd place after 27 games finished 23-22-22-21 (relegated) final position and 20-19-15 (survived)

Sides in 23rd place after 27 games finished 23-23-22-22-22 (relegated) final position and 20-14 (survived)

Sides in 24th place after 27 games finished 24th 6 times, 23 once (all relegated)

That's really cheered me up-only just over a 40% chance of survival.

[Harpers So Solid Crew]

Did you really think it was more Viccy, I said to you that we faced relegation a long time ago I think, I still want to see us make the escape though, and IF the players can do it then I really feel we will push on next season.

[Snowball]

43% on results alone, but the way Mills has come in, the way we now look solid at RB,
and (hopefully) a rejuvenated Shane Long, and two more strikers to add competition
I would say we have AT LEAST a 75% chance of avoiding relegation now

[Snowball]

Weird

I just looked up the odds for relegation. We are about 2-1

But there are SEVEN clubs with greater odds against for promotion.

We are the ridiculously low odds of 40-1 for that

Why be third favourites for the drop but only 40-1 to go up
when others are 150-1?


Huh?

[Ian Royal]

Team in relegation zone in February with strong chance of going down based on previous season snapshot shocker!

[Victor Meldrew]

Did you really think it was more Viccy, I said to you that we faced relegation a long time ago I think, I still want to see us make the escape though, and IF the players can do it then I really feel we will push on next season.

Regrettably I already agree with you but Snowball depressed me even more.
Snowball-for a stats man I find it amazing that you have upped our survival rate chance to 75% just on a whim.
I could understand it if we had already beaten Donny and Plymouth but those games are still to be played and by Wednesday we could still be 3rd from bottom with 2 less games to play.

[Snowball]

Snowball-for a stats man I find it amazing that you have upped our survival rate chance to 75% just on a whim.
I could understand it if we had already beaten Donny and Plymouth but those games are still to be played and by Wednesday we could still be 3rd from bottom with 2 less games to play.

Well the historic stats give us a near 50% chance, but a new FB has noticeably improved us, Mills has improved us, Ingi looks more comfortable, we have Kxyxyxyx the Georgian who ought to be serious class at our level...

I hardly think it unreasonable to suggest that these guys (plus Thor/Shane) have increased our chances.

[Snowball]

Maybe Preston should be on this list

[glass half full]

Maybe Preston should be on this list

So should QPR, as I mentioned in an earlier post.

[Snowball]

Agreed. Hard to believe that a club with all that money
behind it can be such a shambles, but they are.

[glass half full]

As this crazy Championship table and upside-down form indicates, even Brizzle City are not immune from the drop!

[AthleticoSpizz]

one of Plymouth or Peterboro to join

Watford and QPR

[paultheroyal]

Every division, every year you get a team in free fall - this year strangely it is looking like QPR. Have they really become that bad?

Peterborough
Plymouth
Scunthorpe

for me - wildcard QPR

[glass half full]

Agreed. Hard to believe that a club with all that money
behind it can be such a shambles, but they are.

Harford refused to talk to the media today. Will he be QPR's next managerial casualty?

[Dirk Gently]

Peterboro, Sheff Weds & Scunny.