by handbags_harris »
12 Jan 2009 19:52
brendywendy handbags_harris brendywendy 1stly whoever said he had a 70/30 chance with his goal is just wrong. 2 in 3 one on ones dont go in.
That was me, and you have misinterpreted what I was saying. The chance wasn't 70/30, the chances of Leroy reaching the ball ahead of the keeper were 70/30. I would have thought that was pretty clear. But whilst we're on the subject, if Leroy had missed that 1-on-1 he should have been shot. He reached the ball 10 yards out, the keeper was on the 6 yard line (ish), he had massive angles to aim for either side. It was probably the easiest 1-on-1 he will score in his career.
well clearly you werent clear.
and still, its 70 -30 the other way in one on ones, so any ease, or simpleness of the chance is in your head, regardless of when he received the ball.
and regardless of that,
4 yards, between two players rushing headlong at each other is a tiny ammount, and many would have hit it straight at him
When talking percentages in football, someone means percentage chance of winning the ball. It's not a difficult concept to interpret.
Have you ever played football? Have you ever been in a one-against one situation? I do, and I have, and regardless of what level you play at 99 times out of 100 that 1-on-1 would have been scored.
Two out of every three one-on-one's are missed probably in scenario's where a player has time to take a touch and think about what he's going to do. Leroy didn't, he slammed the ball past the Watford 'keeper like any other player would have done. The distance between player, ball, and 'keeper dictates that a ball travelling at pace would mean the keeper not having any hope of reacting in time to where the ball goes. 1, maybe 2, in 100, a keeper gets lucky with the ball coming off a part of his anatomy, but it's rare, because the ball has so much pace that it merely deflects past and in.
