Perspective

[BR2]

Past performance has no relevance to future performance.
A good result for us last night but unfortunately both Burnley and Leeds won.

[brendywendy]

no relevance is way too strong, of course its slightly relevant

[Ian Royal]

I'm starting to feel the excitement and belief return.

[Snowball]

Maybe THIS will get you all some perspective


After the Sheffield and Watford games, before the Millwall game it was



01 32 +31 61 17 Points Clear QPR
02 31 +16 56 12 Points Clear Nottm Forest
03 32 +14 56 12 Points Clear Swansea City
04 32 +13 55 11 Points Clear Cardiff City
05 32 +10 55 11 Points Clear Norwich City
06 32 +10 53 09 Points Clear Leeds United
07 32 +02 51 07 Points Clear Leicester City
08 31 +09 47 03 Points Clear Burnley
09 32 +08 46 02 Points Clear Millwall
10 32 +04 46 02 Points Clear Hull City
11 31 +10 45 01 Points Clear Watford

12 32 +11 44 Reading

IN JUST FOUR GAMES...

READING HAVE GAINED



09 Points and 10 goals gained on Leicester
07 Points and 08 goals gained on Forest
06 points and 06 goals gained on Millwall
04 points and 05 goals gained on Cardiff
04 Points and 07 goals gained on Hull
03 points and 03 goals gained on Swansea
03 points and 05 goals gained on Leeds
02 points and 03 goals gained on Norwich
01 points and 03 goals gained on Burnley
01 Points and 02 goals gained on QPR

If we can do the same in the next 4 games we would be above Forest

40 78 QPR
40 71 Norwich
40 70 Swansea
40 67 Cardiff
40 67 Leeds
38 65 Burnley

40 64 Reading
40 62 Forest
40 58 Hull
40 54 Millwall
40 53 Leicester


With six games to go including a visit to Leeds...

[Snowball]

Next 4 Batches of Matches

No true six-pointers on our cup weekend.

All our rivals have winnable games

Burnley v Millwall
Coventry v Hull
Derby v Swansea
Leeds v Ipswich
Nott'm Forest v Doncaster
Scunthorpe v Leicester
Cardiff v Barnsley
Norwich v Bristol City

Burnley v Coventry (Burnley's Game in Hand-1)

After this match RFC-Burnley will be equal on games



BUT SECOND WEEKEND THERE ARE TWO GAMES
WHERE OUR RIVALS PLAY EACH OTHER

Barnsley v Reading
Bristol City v Burnley
Hull v Norwich
Leicester v Portsmouth
Millwall v Cardiff
Sheff Utd v Leeds
Swansea v Nott'm Forest


ONE MORE ON THE THIRD WEEKEND

Leeds v Nott'm Forest
Hull v Millwall
Burnley v Ipswich
Cardiff v Derby
Middlesbrough v Leicester
Norwich v Scunthorpe
Preston v Swansea
Reading v Portsmouth



Tuesday, 5 April 2011
Reading v Preston, 20:00 (Burnley back to 1 game in hand)


WEEKEND FOUR, IF WE ARE STILL IN IT, IS MASSIVE

Saturday, 9 April 2011
Doncaster v Cardiff
Leicester v Burnley
Millwall v Leeds
Nott'm Forest v Reading
Watford v Hull
Swansea v Norwich

[Maguire]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

[Snowball]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

wow, that's pessimistic

A Barnsley WIN-DRAW
H Portsmouth WIN
H Preston WIN
A Nottm Forest Could be anything but Forest currently imploding
A Scunthorpe WIN-DRAW
H Leicester WIN
A Leeds Could be anything, but we could win-draw there if on track
H Sheffield WIN
A Coventry WIN
H Derby WIN

I could see 6-7- poss 8 wins or W6 D2 (20 points) excluding Forest-Leeds

[Maguire]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

wow, that's pessimistic

A Barnsley WIN-DRAW
H Portsmouth WIN
H Preston WIN
A Nottm Forest Could be anything but Forest currently imploding
A Scunthorpe WIN-DRAW
H Leicester WIN
A Leeds Could be anything, but we could win-draw there if on track
H Sheffield WIN
A Coventry WIN
H Derby WIN

I could see 6-7- poss 8 wins or W6 D2 (20 points) excluding Forest-Leeds

Actually, 15pts would perfectly match our average for the first 36 games of the season and is where i'd place my money (if I had to)

Was the Watford game (when we looked laughably shit) so long ago that you're just awarding us home wins for the rest of the season?

[No Hoops]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

wow, that's pessimistic

A Barnsley WIN-DRAW
H Portsmouth WIN
H Preston WIN
A Nottm Forest Could be anything but Forest currently imploding
A Scunthorpe WIN-DRAW
H Leicester WIN
A Leeds Could be anything, but we could win-draw there if on track
H Sheffield WIN
A Coventry WIN
H Derby WIN

I could see 6-7- poss 8 wins or W6 D2 (20 points) excluding Forest-Leeds

20 pts would be a great end to the season. But is also in my opinion very possible with a fit squad.

[Niko]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

wow, that's pessimistic

A Barnsley WIN-DRAW
H Portsmouth WIN
H Preston WIN
A Nottm Forest Could be anything but Forest currently imploding
A Scunthorpe WIN-DRAW
H Leicester WIN
A Leeds Could be anything, but we could win-draw there if on track
H Sheffield WIN
A Coventry WIN
H Derby WIN

I could see 6-7- poss 8 wins or W6 D2 (20 points) excluding Forest-Leeds

20 pts would be a great end to the season. But is also in my opinion very possible with a fit squad.

So you're saying it's impossible currently, then

[TFF]

We'll pass Forest and finish 7th (with which I would be quite happy tbh)

[Fox Talbot]

I reckon we'll get 13-15pts from our remainign games.

No play-offs

wow, that's pessimistic

A Barnsley WIN-DRAW
H Portsmouth WIN
H Preston WIN
A Nottm Forest Could be anything but Forest currently imploding
A Scunthorpe WIN-DRAW
H Leicester WIN
A Leeds Could be anything, but we could win-draw there if on track
H Sheffield WIN
A Coventry WIN
H Derby WIN

I could see 6-7- poss 8 wins or W6 D2 (20 points) excluding Forest-Leeds

That means scoring at home V Pompey for the first time in 25 years - look forward to that!

[Fox Talbot]

I prefer to work on precedents - in this case the number of points gained by the 6th placed club in the past 15 seasons (the length of the current format of the division).

The average is 73.4. 9 of the 15 teams placed 6th have had 74 or more points. So, to have a good shout this season we'll need 20 more points on top of current 54 - 6 or 7 wins out of ten games (incl Forest and Leeds away - neither of which we seem to win in the league). I don't think we're consistent enough winners of games this season. We should focus on the Cup.

[Snowball]

Actually, 15pts would perfectly match our average for the first 36 games of the season and is where i'd place my money (if I had to)

Was the Watford game (when we looked laughably shit) so long ago that you're just awarding us home wins for the rest of the season?

So not the average of Elwood's games, you know, CURRENT form, 17 games now and over 2 points per game?

So not the average of the games (CURRENT FORM) where Long-Hunt have really turned it on and scored about 20 goals in 15 games?

So not the average of when our classiest CB plays?

[Snowball]

That means scoring at home V Pompey for the first time in 25 years - look forward to that!

NO. We win 1-0 with a Kitson OG.

[Wax Jacket]

So not the average of when our classiest CB plays?

could you quantify this classiness please

[Snowball]

So not the average of when our classiest CB plays?

could you quantify this classiness please

NO

[Ian Royal]

So not the average of when our classiest CB plays?

could you quantify this classiness please

And who he is...

[Snowball]

LEAGUE Form Table:from Statto.com

Clubs in bold still to play

01 6 5 1 0 2 0 10 04 +6 16 2.67 Burnley
02 6 5 0 1 5 0 08 02 +6 15 2.50 Portsmouth
03 6 4 1 1 3 1 12 05 +7 13 2.17 Swansea City

04 6 3 3 0 0 0 15 09 +6 12 2.00 Reading <<<<<<

05 6 4 0 2 1 1 12 07 +5 12 2.00 Bristol City
06 6 3 3 0 1 0 11 07 +4 12 2.00 Norwich City
07 6 3 2 1 3 1 08 04 +4 11 1.83 QPR
08 6 3 2 1 1 1 14 11 +3 11 1.83 Leeds United
09 6 3 1 2 3 2 04 04 +0 10 1.67 Hull City
10 6 2 1 3 2 2 10 08 +2 07 1.17 Ipswich Town ***
11 6 2 1 3 2 2 06 06 +0 07 1.17 Cardiff City
12 6 2 1 3 1 2 07 08 -1 07 1.17 Leicester City
12 6 1 4 1 1 0 07 08 -1 07 1.17 Watford ***
14 6 2 1 3 2 2 06 07 -1 07 1.17 Palace ***
15 6 2 1 3 2 3 05 08 -3 07 1.17 Scunthorpe United
16 6 2 1 3 0 1 11 16 -5 07 1.17 Middlesbrough ***
17 6 1 3 2 1 2 06 07 -1 06 1.00 Nottingham Forest
18 6 1 3 2 1 3 06 08 -2 06 1.00 Barnsley
19 6 1 3 2 0 1 08 12 -4 06 1.00 Doncaster Rovers
20 6 1 2 3 2 2 06 07 -1 05 0.83 Millwall ***
21 6 1 2 3 3 3 03 06 -3 05 0.83 Derby County
22 6 1 2 3 0 2 05 09 -4 05 0.83 Coventry City
23 6 0 4 2 0 0 08 10 -2 04 0.67 Preston North End
24 6 1 1 4 0 3 05 08 -3 04 0.67 Sheffield United ***

If last-six form is maintained to the end of the season

We gain 10 points on Forest, 8 on Cardiff, 2 on Leeds

Needless to say ppg is out of the window in the two actual games v Forest and Leeds
Winning or losing at either is HUGE

[Victor Meldrew]

Snowbal,
I,if and more if.
Why should form over a 6 match run continue for the rest of the season?
That is a giant and unrealistic assumption IMHO.
We are still massive outsiders and I'm not sure it would be a good thing for us to scrape into the play-offs for so many reasons.
The FA Cup on the other hand........