THE BETTING THREAD

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RG30
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 29 May 2012 13:04

lowerwestjnr
RG30 You need an odds on card aswell

How do you get one of those?


I can sign you up for one

Tony Le Mesmer
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tony Le Mesmer » 30 May 2012 10:10

Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalJames101 » 30 May 2012 22:46

Holland & Lewandowksi top scorer 200/1.

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The Rouge
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by The Rouge » 31 May 2012 09:11

So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?

KDRF
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by KDRF » 31 May 2012 14:05

The Rouge So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?

I think i dont understand.


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FinchOwl
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by FinchOwl » 31 May 2012 15:11

The Rouge So the spread for the Euros is (roughly):

Spain....52/54     Germany....48/50     Holland....35/37     France....29/31     England....28/30     Italy....24/26     Russia....23/25     Portugal....22/24     Poland....17/19     Greece....16/18     Croatia....15/17     Ukraine....15/17     Czech.R....15/17     Sweden....13/15     R.O.I....8/10     Denmark....7/9

Winner = 100pts
R/U = 75pts
Semi Finalist = 50pts
Qualified/Quarter Finalist = 25pts 
Did not qualify from group = 0pts

I am thinking of doing the following:

BUY
GERMANY
SPAIN
ROI
FRANCE
ENGLAND
POLAND

SELL
PORTUGAL
UKRAINE
CZECH REPUBLIC
RUSSIA

Bigger bets in red. What do people think?


Buy Holland, surely? Fairly certain they will get to the semi's at least as paired with group A for the QF's. They look the value to me

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RG30
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 31 May 2012 17:55

Buy:Germany, France, Croatia

Sell: Holland, Italy and Portugal

Rev Algenon Stickleback H
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Rev Algenon Stickleback H » 02 Jun 2012 22:38

Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.

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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalX » 03 Jun 2012 16:55

Rev Algenon Stickleback H
Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Victor Meldrew » 03 Jun 2012 20:18

RoyalX
Rev Algenon Stickleback H
Tony Le Mesmer Surely there has to be some value in the outright market for the Euro's. Germany at 3/1? thats way too short for me in a very competitive tournament. Spain and Germany combined are even money. Look elsewhere.

How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


Are Brazil using Pele and Zico as their over-aged players or are they going with the spirit of the Olympics and just playing the young 'uns?
As for the Euros it might be worth waiting till the quarters to have a bet as there are a couple of groups of death but if Germany,Holland and Spain all get through I doubt that their prices will be much reduced.
I am thinking of selling total corners which have been calculated as an average of about 10.5 per game but a lot of teams will play as they do in the Champs leaguue where the corner count is usually lower than in English football and in a summer tournament teams will be less inclined to bomb forward.
That's the theory anyway.

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Tredder
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tredder » 03 Jun 2012 20:45

Euro 2012 bets

Germany 7/2
Russia 22 e/w

Top Scorer

Cassano 50/1
Kerzhakov 50/1

Both e/w 1/4 odds first 4.

chilipepper91
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by chilipepper91 » 03 Jun 2012 22:36

Group winners: Russia, Holland, Spain, France - 26/1
Spain-France final - 20/1
Benzema top scorer 16/1 (e/w)

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Tredder
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Tredder » 04 Jun 2012 01:30

Russia to win Friday 6/5 and also 6/4 to win their group, huge single bets


RoyalX
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RoyalX » 04 Jun 2012 15:50

Victor Meldrew
RoyalX
Rev Algenon Stickleback H How about Olympics football?

Brazil are favourites, despite surprisingly never having won the tournament, while GB and Spain are 2nd/3rd favourites, even though neither squad will feature any players used in the Euro 2012 squads.

Uruguay (9/1) and Mexico (16/1) look good for at least an each way bet.


I think you're definitely right about getting against the European teams - not sure about Brazil. Their Olympics team just beat USA 4-1 (although it didn't look that convincing), and their manager has been told that his number one priority is to bring home Olympic gold. If you want a taster they're playing Mexico (full team) at 8pm! Mexico Olympic team just won the Toulon tournament so could do worse than 16/1 e/w!


Are Brazil using Pele and Zico as their over-aged players or are they going with the spirit of the Olympics and just playing the young 'uns?
As for the Euros it might be worth waiting till the quarters to have a bet as there are a couple of groups of death but if Germany,Holland and Spain all get through I doubt that their prices will be much reduced.
I am thinking of selling total corners which have been calculated as an average of about 10.5 per game but a lot of teams will play as they do in the Champs leaguue where the corner count is usually lower than in English football and in a summer tournament teams will be less inclined to bomb forward.
That's the theory anyway.


They've included 5 overage players in their current squad - Thiago Silva, David Luiz, Marcelo, Hulk and Jefferson (GK). Lost 2-0 last night to the full Mexican team - Thiago Silva, Marcelo and Hulk played.

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Pepe the Horseman
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Pepe the Horseman » 06 Jun 2012 20:07

All over Germany at 6/1 with PP. When it's, it's gone! http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-b ... ids=702164

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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by buzzby » 06 Jun 2012 21:18

Pepe the Horseman All over Germany at 6/1 with PP. When it's, it's gone! http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-b ... ids=702164


Gone already, back to 3/1

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RG30
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by RG30 » 07 Jun 2012 00:18

Germany @ 4/1
Young top England goalscorer 7/1 & Lewandowski top Poland goalscorer @ 15/8 in a double

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Pepe the Horseman
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Pepe the Horseman » 07 Jun 2012 09:14

RG30 Germany @ 4/1
Young top England goalscorer 7/1 & Lewandowski top Poland goalscorer @ 15/8 in a double


Was gonna go for that myself. 66/1 e/w is tempting as well.

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Simon's Church
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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by Simon's Church » 07 Jun 2012 10:00

Got Malouda for top scorer 66/1, relatively weak group and should be fresh after barely playing this season.

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Re: 2011/12 SEASON BETTING THREAD

by LWJ » 07 Jun 2012 11:59

Germany, Russia and Spain to win their opening games treble 6/1

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