by Readingfanman »
08 Jan 2014 11:13
Cypry Readingfanman Ian Royal We're 9th, one whole point off the Play Offs. It's incredibly unlikely, but with a stonking run (you know like the one from 2 years ago), we could still just about win the league. Let alone get promoted. And even if we don't, it's hardly the end of the year. We can reasonably expect to be in amongst the challengers next year.
On what basis, if we didn't get promoted this season, are we in amongst the challengers for next year? I really don't see any basis on which you can claim that. If Adkins is to stay at the club, and gets to bring in his own players, will people not clamour for him to have "time to gel" the players etc?
3 more clubs get relegated from the Premier League with bigger resources and become challengers, added the 3 losing teams in the Playoffs, and then probably anyone who finished above us if we finish outside the Playoffs. Say we finish 10th, for arguments sake, that would put us behind 9 other clubs in terms of challengers. Personally, I don't see any evidence of how we can be considered challengers for the title or promotion next season, when so far this season we have shown no evidence of being a team who are capable of achieveing either.
Oh well, at least we can write off Burnley, Derby and Ipswich as they only finished 11th, 10th and 14th last year, so they can't possibly be challengers this year...
This is football, not a oxf*rd maths exercise......
& how many years have all three been languishing around in mid table for now? 5+?
Fwiw - I've gone back through the tables since we got promoted the first time and got the finishing positions for the season before of each side for the top two spots:
Cardiff - 6th
Reading - 5th
QPR - 13th
Newcastle - Relegated from Top Flight
Wolves - 7th
WBA - 4th
Sunderland - Relegated from Top Flight
Reading - 7th
Hull - 8th
Southampton - Promoted from League 1
Norwich - Promoted from League 1
WBA - Relegated from Top flight
Birmingham - Relegated from Top Flight
Stoke - 8th
Birmingham - Relegated from Top Flight
Sheff United - 8th
So no team (Except QPR who had a tonne of money pumped in that summer) has finished below 8th in the last 8 years and then been promoted the following season (without the use of the playoffs, which I haven't yet checked). Fact remains going by the stats above, if we miss the playoffs and finish mid table, we are much more likely next season to be a mid table side rather than a challenger to the title.
Last edited by
Readingfanman on 08 Jan 2014 11:24, edited 1 time in total.