Coronavirus outbreak

1127 posts
User avatar
Franchise FC
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 11697
Joined: 22 May 2007 16:24
Location: Relocated to LA

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 14 Apr 2020 21:43

Jagermesiter1871
Franchise FC
Jagermesiter1871
Yeh but they don't do that do they?

Don’t ask me, I’m a mathematician.
Virology isn’t my specialism


Yeh but what are the odds of it mutating like that?

I can give you all that if you can provide me with the virus data sets to work on :wink:

SCIAG
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6470
Joined: 17 Jun 2008 17:43
Location: Liburd for England

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by SCIAG » 16 Apr 2020 09:12

What does the Rougeometer have to say about all this?

User avatar
One87One
Member
Posts: 391
Joined: 28 Nov 2016 12:04
Location: The Fields of Norfolk Road

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by One87One » 16 Apr 2020 15:16

On Peston last night it was suggested that a relaxed lockdown could remain in force for another 12 months. If that's the case then we'll see many return to work, but most asked to continue working from home if able to, and almost certainly no mass gatherings, meaning football being played behind closed doors for next season (if at all).

Westwood52
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 1083
Joined: 08 Oct 2010 16:46

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Westwood52 » 16 Apr 2020 15:30

I am pretty confident a vaccine will be here by September.The human condition being what it is;most of us will say f##k it by then,we have had enough,let’s get back on the gravy train;even though it may well kill us.

Millsy
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 10130
Joined: 16 Jul 2004 18:36
Location: Make the world safe again!

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Millsy » 16 Apr 2020 17:24

If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.


SCIAG
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 6470
Joined: 17 Jun 2008 17:43
Location: Liburd for England

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by SCIAG » 16 Apr 2020 20:11

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

Just give me a percentage.

Millsy
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 10130
Joined: 16 Jul 2004 18:36
Location: Make the world safe again!

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Millsy » 16 Apr 2020 20:56

SCIAG
2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

Just give me a percentage.


You'd have to ask Snowball.

User avatar
Franchise FC
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 11697
Joined: 22 May 2007 16:24
Location: Relocated to LA

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 16 Apr 2020 21:39

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.

We’ve moved on from Snowbollocks to just plain b*llocks

User avatar
bcubed
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 11970
Joined: 30 Oct 2004 18:16
Location: Would do better with a stick of rhubarb

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by bcubed » 16 Apr 2020 23:52

2 world wars, 1 world cup If we look at the actual numbers we will see that the logarithmic multiplier feeds back a negative correlation into the daily rate (plus or minus rate multiplier) depending on what factor you choose. It's not inconceivable therefore that some time in the next 3 weeks there will be a move toward a changing of the current paradigm into one that is less restrictive in terms of movement and isolation, but equal to the current lockdown in terms of having to stay indoors exactly as we are with no changes. The good news is that this won't happen for at least another fortnight by which time it will be almost impossible to catch coronavirus due to the leftward shift in the rate curve.


:D


Linden Jones' Tash
Member
Posts: 547
Joined: 20 Jun 2009 12:03
Location: north of the river...

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Linden Jones' Tash » 21 Apr 2020 19:10

Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

User avatar
tmesis
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 2828
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 20:26

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 21 Apr 2020 23:34

Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

User avatar
Franchise FC
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 11697
Joined: 22 May 2007 16:24
Location: Relocated to LA

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Franchise FC » 22 Apr 2020 14:08

tmesis
Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

User avatar
One87One
Member
Posts: 391
Joined: 28 Nov 2016 12:04
Location: The Fields of Norfolk Road

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by One87One » 22 Apr 2020 16:12

Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.


User avatar
tmesis
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 2828
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 20:26

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 22 Apr 2020 17:41

Franchise FC
tmesis
Linden Jones' Tash Wow... ONS figures now show massive spike in other deaths.

Whether they test or not, code or not, the actual numbers are under estimates.

Stay safe

To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

Did you ever watch Brasseye?

User avatar
tmesis
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 2828
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 20:26

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by tmesis » 22 Apr 2020 17:42

One87One Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.

Or there could be fans back from the Autumn. We don't know yet.

User avatar
Uke
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 23173
Joined: 17 Apr 2004 16:24
Location: Слава Україні! Героям слава! @UkeRFC

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Uke » 22 Apr 2020 18:45

tmesis
Franchise FC
tmesis To paraphrase Brasseye, while recorded cases are starting to fall, cases we no nothing about have doubled in the same period.

If we no nothing about them, how do we know they’ve doubled ?

Just asking

Did you ever watch Brasseye?


He was probably off his tits on Clarky Cat

Nameless
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 8851
Joined: 23 Aug 2013 12:25

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Nameless » 23 Apr 2020 01:46

tmesis
One87One Could be no fans at football matches next season until the new year. This will have a devastating impact on football if so.

Or there could be fans back from the Autumn. We don't know yet.



If social distancing I’ll be required until at least the end of the year I would be interested in an explanation of how any sporting events will take place with more than a token number of spectators present.
County cricket should be ok to start on May 1st though.

Old Man Andrews

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Old Man Andrews » 23 Apr 2020 07:46

What happened to Snowball? Did the madness finally take over?

User avatar
From Despair To Where?
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 24828
Joined: 19 Apr 2004 08:37
Location: See me in m'pants and ting

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by From Despair To Where? » 23 Apr 2020 08:04

As annoying and unreadable as his stat attacks are, I do hope he's OK.

Westwood52
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 1083
Joined: 08 Oct 2010 16:46

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

by Westwood52 » 23 Apr 2020 09:55

Daily Mirror quotes an expert ,that over sixties are substantially at risk of death from Covid.In my business substantial was expressed as a percentage of 25% and over.So doesn’t look as if this cohort will be going anywhere except County Cricket any time soon.Over seventies are six times more at risk of death than over sixties,so they are going nowhere.

Of course the bloke I sit next to will be glad to see the back of me for at least next season.

1127 posts

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 262 guests

It is currently 25 Nov 2024 23:20