by Mr Angry »
05 Apr 2022 11:59
If we were fans of Barnsley, Derby or Peterboro, and the only team any of us could catch win their game this evening so going 8 or 9 points ahead of us with only 6 or 7 games to go, we would say that we were relegated.
We win tonight, then those teams have an absolute mountain to climb to overtake us; its all well and good saying "well, if they win their next 3 games they go above us" buts that the point, isn't it? They haven't been good enough to win consistently over the whole of the season, so why should they start doing so now?
Having just checked, the only time this season that Barnsley have won back to back games was in late Feb, (though to be fair they did win 3 out of 4); Peterborough have only won back to back games once in late October; Derby won 3 on the bounce in mid/late December - but haven't won 2 on the bounce since.
In comparison, we have won 3 on the bounce once this season, in mid September, then 2 back to back wins on 2 other occasions - early/mid October (as part of the run where we actually won 5 out of 6 games) then the 2 games immediately after Pauno got the bullet in Feb.
In other words, of the bottom 4 we are the more likely to have a mini run of 2 wins on the bounce than any of the others.