by Stranded »
20 Feb 2024 08:43
Any one lumping this into the "must not lose" realm, is potentially consciously or subconsciously protecting themselves mentally should it go tits up.
After tonight we will have played at least 1 game more than every team in the bottom half with the exception of Exeter. If we win it, that Vale and Cheltenaham can only go past us with minimum 2 wins and a draw (unless they are two massive wins) from their 3 in hand - Charlton cannot pass us, Shrewsbury cannot pass us - so we can be "safe" in the knowledge that as long we match sides below us points wise over the other 12 games, the games in hand mean very little.
If we draw, then Charlton and Shrewsbury can jump over us with a win, Vale with 2 wins from their 3 in hand and Cheltenham with 1 win and 2 draws.
Lose, Charlton still need a win, Shrewsbury just a draw, Vale 2 draws and Cheltenham 1 win and a draw.
Also the boost from winning going into the upcoming winnable games will be massive, failure to win makes it 3 on the spin and the pressure kranks up.
So whilst not terminal if we don't win, for me, given there is so much out of our hands at the mo, this is as close to a must win as a game can be - and if we play as well as we can, we will win.
Really looking forward to the game tonight.