CONFRIMED: Latest rumours Confrimed as Unconfrimed

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WestYorksRoyal
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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by WestYorksRoyal » 20 Mar 2024 07:52

blythspartan
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blythspartan According to Howe a deal is a long way off. Yet again we get our hopes up for nothing.

https://twitter.com/RFCLatest

But exclusivity must therefore be close. It's only the first step and there is plenty of process to go through after this point. So this contravenes nothing James Earnshaw has reported, only the ITKs claiming "done deal". What a surprise.

There's still a route to exclusivity and bridging loan this week. And similarly, if this doesn't happen then Howe's timeline may not be achievable.

For context with WBA, their preferred bidder emerged in the middle of January and the deal was complete at the end of February. The Club won't be able to report who the preferred party until the EFL approves them, but media outlets will share it pretty widely.


Is it definitely 6 to 8 weeks until completion or is he meaning exclusivity? At least all the ITK’s on twitter can oxf*rd off now.

I'd guess completion. Our most reliable reporter has said exclusivity may be close and that there were meetings with multiple parties all Monday. The offers are there and Dai just has to choose which he proceeds with. He may think he can do better and decide on none of them. But then we're back looking at 6 months or so again, as we were when he rejected Genevra. And I don't think this club will last that long without a takeover tbh.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by blythspartan » 20 Mar 2024 08:04

WestYorksRoyal
blythspartan
WestYorksRoyal But exclusivity must therefore be close. It's only the first step and there is plenty of process to go through after this point. So this contravenes nothing James Earnshaw has reported, only the ITKs claiming "done deal". What a surprise.

There's still a route to exclusivity and bridging loan this week. And similarly, if this doesn't happen then Howe's timeline may not be achievable.

For context with WBA, their preferred bidder emerged in the middle of January and the deal was complete at the end of February. The Club won't be able to report who the preferred party until the EFL approves them, but media outlets will share it pretty widely.


Is it definitely 6 to 8 weeks until completion or is he meaning exclusivity? At least all the ITK’s on twitter can oxf*rd off now.

I'd guess completion. Our most reliable reporter has said exclusivity may be close and that there were meetings with multiple parties all Monday. The offers are there and Dai just has to choose which he proceeds with. He may think he can do better and decide on none of them. But then we're back looking at 6 months or so again, as we were when he rejected Genevra. And I don't think this club will last that long without a takeover tbh.


It sounds like a letter of intent is close so fingers crossed. Now back to work.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Hendo » 20 Mar 2024 08:22

Mega complex business transaction with multiple assets taking a long time to complete. Who’d have thought it, eh?

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Hendo » 20 Mar 2024 08:22

leon
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Labour do love a quango or two…

They call it creating jobs…..

A regulator will just add to costs - and maintain the status quo - and create another layer of jobsworths justifying their existence and creating nothing.

Wherever a Club is, when the regulator begins - is where they will stay.

Football is a worldwide market.

A regulator would (unless it had worldwide powers) drive money away from UK.

Football should be run by football - not by quangos and foreign owners with dubious records.

EFL should just ratify transfers and players’ wage costs - for every Club, based on last years accounts; adding in any special factors such as promotion or relegation.

It’s not that hard if there is a will to do so.

A new quango is rarely the answer to anything.

If Labour get involved in football I'm boycotting all football and watching rugby and cricket from now on


Another benefit of a Labour government. When can I vote?


+1

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by WestYorksRoyal » 20 Mar 2024 08:31

While he didn't give away specifics, my interpersonal of his comments is that this Sports.com bid hasn't provided proof and funding and isn't the one.

I suspect that Chiron Sports Group, which has involvement with a previous Charlton director, is the front runner. Howe has been saying that there was one particularly credible bid ahead of the rest, while the EFL mentioned they were aware of a bid fronted by a well known and respected individual. The Athletic reported that these guys walked away on the Bearwood news last week, so it would not surprise me if they're back. I'm not the slightest bit ITK btw, just joining dots.


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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Stranded » 20 Mar 2024 08:31

blythspartan According to Howe a deal is a long way off. Yet again we get our hopes up for nothing.

https://twitter.com/RFCLatest


A deal as in a completed deal was never going to be done this week - any deal was always going to be exlusivity but that is a massive deal in our situation. I've always taken any accounts shouting "its done" to mean a deal has been agreed not completed.

If they are drafting the Letter of Intent for the EFL when he was interviewed (so Monday or yesterday) then that is likely to go in today or tomorrow latest. What this means is the short term money issues go away - the prospective owner can either loan or deposit money in the club as a show of good faith from their side to complete the transaction - this will cover all outgoings and hopefully save us 2 points.

It will then likely be 6-8 weeks for the EFL to do their bit and the new owners to do whatever else they need to do and well, just let the legal procedures of purchase work through.

It can always still fall through but funding will be in place and unless the party not selected totally lose interest, then if it does there is another party who can step in.

So this is tentatively good news and all being well, we have the funds to see out the season, a deal completes shortly after the campaign ends - or before the final home game - and we can look forward to a relatively normal pre-season for the first time in what feels like forever.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Sutekh » 20 Mar 2024 08:33

Hendo Mega complex business transaction with multiple assets taking a long time to complete. Who’d have thought it, eh?


and with completely "unique" owner involved.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by The Green Programme » 20 Mar 2024 08:40

Armadillo Roadkill
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Brum Royal Presumably with the (expected) Labour majority post-election this will help move things along quicker/have more positive backing from the MPs


Labour do love a quango or two…

They call it creating jobs…..

A regulator will just add to costs - and maintain the status quo - and create another layer of jobsworths justifying their existence and creating nothing.

Wherever a Club is, when the regulator begins - is where they will stay.

Football is a worldwide market.

A regulator would (unless it had worldwide powers) drive money away from UK.

Football should be run by football - not by quangos and foreign owners with dubious records.

EFL should just ratify transfers and players’ wage costs - for every Club, based on last years accounts; adding in any special factors such as promotion or relegation.

It’s not that hard if there is a will to do so.

A new quango is rarely the answer to anything.


Yeah, because allowing football to be run on free market principles has been working brilliantly for decades now, hasn't it?

This free market bullshït is economically, philosophically and sociologically illiterate.

A centrally planned economy is too complex to ever be effective in all areas. Where there are low barriers to entry and the capacity to respond quickly to changes in customer behaviour then the market is efficient.

Football is not such a "product." A football club is not easily replaced. It is part of its community, it is part of a society's intangible culture, there is no economic or human advantage in allowing the current unregulated model.

The barriers to replacing a failing club with a new one are vast. The costs of a regulator are negligible given football's' turnover and contribution to GDP.

And karbota agrees with you. That alone should be sufficient evidence that you're bang out of order.


So where is your evidence that a football quango will improve anything?

And how do you know what it will cost and how it would operate?

Who will run it? Who will pay for it? football has always been run on the basis of owners pouring money in and not necessarily making a penny.

It goes with the territory - high risk.

Remember that committee based decisions never produce the best outcome - they just produce the grey compromise that retains the status quo.

It’s just abdication of responsibility to a faceless organisation that will allow those involved in running football to pass the buck.

And reduction of opportunity.

Everything is a trade off and nothing is a pure solution.

For everyone to rush towards a route which has been proven to be expensive and ineffective on so many occasions; is beyond any reasonable justification.

The answer in my opinion is real time EFL scrutiny of transfers based on last years accounts and this years financing (resulting from changes brought about by promotion or relegation).

It just needs the will to take action on the part of the EFL.

Or will they take the cowardly route of appeasement like the Premier League by just changing the rules before more of the big clubs (City in particular) are found to be in breach (allegedly).

If we get a new owner who runs the club properly - the idea of a football quango will become obsolete; and this thread will become irrelevant.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by WestYorksRoyal » 20 Mar 2024 08:43

Stranded
blythspartan According to Howe a deal is a long way off. Yet again we get our hopes up for nothing.

https://twitter.com/RFCLatest


A deal as in a completed deal was never going to be done this week - any deal was always going to be exlusivity but that is a massive deal in our situation. I've always taken any accounts shouting "its done" to mean a deal has been agreed not completed.

If they are drafting the Letter of Intent for the EFL when he was interviewed (so Monday or yesterday) then that is likely to go in today or tomorrow latest. What this means is the short term money issues go away - the prospective owner can either loan or deposit money in the club as a show of good faith from their side to complete the transaction - this will cover all outgoings and hopefully save us 2 points.

It will then likely be 6-8 weeks for the EFL to do their bit and the new owners to do whatever else they need to do and well, just let the legal procedures of purchase work through.

It can always still fall through but funding will be in place and unless the party not selected totally lose interest, then if it does there is another party who can step in.

So this is tentatively good news and all being well, we have the funds to see out the season, a deal completes shortly after the campaign ends - or before the final home game - and we can look forward to a relatively normal pre-season for the first time in what feels like forever.

If we can get to this point before HMRC and wages are due, it's a huge deal. No more points deductions, stability for the staff and players. Maybe they will be provided food and hotels for away games again. I'd put our survival chances in L1 at 90 - 95% if this can happen. I'd say more 60 - 70% if we have more deductions and the chaos continues.

Ignore those hoping for a sale to be completed. This week could be massive for us.


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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Stranded » 20 Mar 2024 08:44

WestYorksRoyal While he didn't give away specifics, my interpersonal of his comments is that this Sports.com bid hasn't provided proof and funding and isn't the one.

I suspect that Chiron Sports Group, which has involvement with a previous Charlton director, is the front runner. Howe has been saying that there was one particularly credible bid ahead of the rest, while the EFL mentioned they were aware of a bid fronted by a well known and respected individual. The Athletic reported that these guys walked away on the Bearwood news last week, so it would not surprise me if they're back. I'm not the slightest bit ITK btw, just joining dots.


It was definitely strongly inferred that the group getting traction on social media - which would be sports.com - have been unable to show they have the funds to purchase. So that would suggest to me that yes, Chiron are the most likely party moving forward if they can also purchase the stadium.

Howe was certainly very clear that the terms of the sale demand that money is deposited as soon as Letter of Intent is completed to allow the club to meet its obligations - as the first of those is due on Friday the next 24 to 36 hours look to be key if we want to avoid further point deductions - though like many, I've already priced that in.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by NathStPaul » 20 Mar 2024 08:45

Is that Brad Ray guy from Twitter on here? I have never seen someone talk so much but say so little in my life. Constantly having to talk about the takeover suggesting he's ITK but says NOTHING. Just stfu.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by WestYorksRoyal » 20 Mar 2024 08:56

NathStPaul Is that Brad Ray guy from Twitter on here? I have never seen someone talk so much but say so little in my life. Constantly having to talk about the takeover suggesting he's ITK but says NOTHING. Just stfu.


I apologise to any fan that has felt misled or mentally drained by my posts.I was given information by someone at the club, I felt it was only fair to share with fellow fans. I’m not one for I know something and you don’t 8
elitist shite. I was excited by what I was told

:lol:

I suspect not many of these accounts are actively lying. But they think that their mate in some mid level role at the club has the full picture when they clearly won't.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by WestYorksRoyal » 20 Mar 2024 09:03

Got to say we're lucky to have Howe involved who knows the EFL process inside out. Sounds like you get plenty of time wasters or people who don't understand. I only learned this morning about the requirement to deposit 2 years funding with the EFL. It must significantly reduce the risk of everything falling through late in the day. It may still happen with us, but it will almost certainly be due to issues with the seller and not the buyer.


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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Stranded » 20 Mar 2024 09:05

WestYorksRoyal
NathStPaul Is that Brad Ray guy from Twitter on here? I have never seen someone talk so much but say so little in my life. Constantly having to talk about the takeover suggesting he's ITK but says NOTHING. Just stfu.


I apologise to any fan that has felt misled or mentally drained by my posts.I was given information by someone at the club, I felt it was only fair to share with fellow fans. I’m not one for I know something and you don’t 8
elitist shite. I was excited by what I was told

:lol:

I suspect not many of these accounts are actively lying. But they think that their mate in some mid level role at the club has the full picture when they clearly won't.


There is a lot of 2+2=5 going on, which I get, as things are definitely picking up speed through necessity if nothing else but yes, the only people who will actively know the actual situation are those in the meetings which will probably be quite restricted to the buyers reps, Dai's reps and the clubs reps (Howe, lawyer and poss Bowen). So unless someone knows one of those people and they are happy to talk off the record knowing it will get out unofficially, at best all a contact at the club will know is there was a meeting between Howe and someone (may know company name at best).

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by The Green Programme » 20 Mar 2024 09:11

Snowflake Royal Anyone who uses socialist as an insult is an imbecile.

Uses the Daily Mail trope of quango = bad (they haven’t been quangos for decades anyway) and all regulation is bad, despite the countless examples of no/weak/underfunded regulators lead to apalling behaviour and dreadful standards by business.

Basically just thick as pig shit.


The usual insults and non arguments….

Where is your evidence that a new socialist quango has ever worked for anyone to the extent propagated upon its creation, other than those who run it?

Genuinely; show me…

And who is going to run it? Pay for it?
Who has any expertise?

I can see the gravy train that will be ‘investment in investigation’’ (Ulez style perhaps) - I’m sure it will convince everyone that the regulator will become the embodiment of reason and progress.

Underfunded….

Do you mean the - fail to do a good job, whilst being overpaid (compared to the lack of beneficial outcome) and then refusing to change and then demanding more money as the solution - kind of underfunded?

You carry on bringing about change by relying on others and then blaming them when it all goes wrong if you prefer.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by NathStPaul » 20 Mar 2024 09:12

Tedious.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Einstein agogo » 20 Mar 2024 09:38

The Green Programme
Snowflake Royal Anyone who uses socialist as an insult is an imbecile.

Uses the Daily Mail trope of quango = bad (they haven’t been quangos for decades anyway) and all regulation is bad, despite the countless examples of no/weak/underfunded regulators lead to apalling behaviour and dreadful standards by business.

Basically just thick as pig shit.


The usual insults and non arguments….

Where is your evidence that a new socialist quango has ever worked for anyone to the extent propagated upon its creation, other than those who run it?

Genuinely; show me…

And who is going to run it? Pay for it?
Who has any expertise?

I can see the gravy train that will be ‘investment in investigation’’ (Ulez style perhaps) - I’m sure it will convince everyone that the regulator will become the embodiment of reason and progress.

Underfunded….

Do you mean the - fail to do a good job, whilst being overpaid (compared to the lack of beneficial outcome) and then refusing to change and then demanding more money as the solution - kind of underfunded?

You carry on bringing about change by relying on others and then blaming them when it all goes wrong if you prefer.

I'm with Snowflake , you sound like a Gammon

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Snowflake Royal » 20 Mar 2024 09:39

The Green Programme
Snowflake Royal Anyone who uses socialist as an insult is an imbecile.

Uses the Daily Mail trope of quango = bad (they haven’t been quangos for decades anyway) and all regulation is bad, despite the countless examples of no/weak/underfunded regulators lead to apalling behaviour and dreadful standards by business.

Basically just thick as pig shit.


The usual insults and non arguments….

Where is your evidence that a new socialist quango has ever worked for anyone to the extent propagated upon its creation, other than those who run it?

Genuinely; show me…

And who is going to run it? Pay for it?
Who has any expertise?

I can see the gravy train that will be ‘investment in investigation’’ (Ulez style perhaps) - I’m sure it will convince everyone that the regulator will become the embodiment of reason and progress.

Underfunded….

Do you mean the - fail to do a good job, whilst being overpaid (compared to the lack of beneficial outcome) and then refusing to change and then demanding more money as the solution - kind of underfunded?

You carry on bringing about change by relying on others and then blaming them when it all goes wrong if you prefer.

I've personally worked with, for or under the following NGOs.

Financial Services Authority
Financial Ombusman Service
Ofwat
Consumer Council for Water
Drinking Water Inspectorate
Ofqual
Qualification Wales
Information Commissioner's Office

For all their flaws, in absolutely every case, the industries were much better off with them than without them.

The FSA and FOS played big roles in the investigation of and restitution for the rampant misselling of endowment mortgages.

The DWI helps ensure our drinking water quality is some of the best in the world.

Ofwat forced under performing companies to invest vast extra funds into improving their infrastructure to reduce sewer flooding and leaks. Long way to go.

CCW helped thousands of vulnerable and disadvantaged customers with their water companies and directly caused change on better answer times and many other things.

Ofqual forced change that meant students affected by Grendel and the Manchester Arena bombing got results they otherwise would have got nothing for. They've put in place a facility for students to challenge the accuracy of the marking of their exams at appeal which did not previously exist.

NGOs are extremely cheap for their effect. Generally costing the often multi-billion pound industries they serve a few million pounds, often covered by licence fees.
Last edited by Snowflake Royal on 20 Mar 2024 09:40, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Loafer » 20 Mar 2024 09:40

has there ever been a more boring poster who just posts endless walls of nothing then The Green Programme?

I mean at least Snowball had SOME redeeming qualities and talked sense despite typing like a helmet sometimes

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Re: TAKEOVER *NOT* CONFIMRED

by Loafer » 20 Mar 2024 09:41

today I learnt there is a Drinking Water Institute

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